Sport Picks

Stadium Background

North Macedonia vs Liechtenstein

World World

World Championship 2026 National Arena Toshe Proeski, Skopje
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Buchel B.
Own Goal
21'
Ilievski B.
38'
Sub
Traber L. In: Beck N.
Out: Traber L.

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between North Macedonia and Liechtenstein finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Macedonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
North Macedonia
20%
Draws
48%
Liechtenstein
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liechtenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • North Macedonia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on North Macedonia taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North Macedonia here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
North Macedonia Clean Sheet 20%
Liechtenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia Liechtenstein
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 2
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 24
Goals Scored 1.17 0.3
Goals Conceded 1.27 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Liechtenstein
5:0
Mar 22, 2025 World Championship
Liechtenstein vs North Macedonia
0:3
Oct 8, 2021 World Championship
Liechtenstein vs North Macedonia
0:4
Mar 28, 2021 World Championship
North Macedonia vs Liechtenstein
5:0
Nov 16, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Liechtenstein vs North Macedonia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bardhi E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Churlinov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Liechtenstein Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia 42 / 100
Liechtenstein 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia Liechtenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liechtenstein let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: North Macedonia scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Liechtenstein lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia VS Liechtenstein
1 Goals Scored 0.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia

(Home)
01 Jun
Turkey
4 : 0
North Macedonia
29 May
Bosnia & Herzegovina
0 : 0
North Macedonia
31 Mar
Ireland
0 : 0
North Macedonia
26 Mar
Denmark
4 : 0
North Macedonia
18 Nov
Wales
7 : 1
North Macedonia
Page 1 of 6

Liechtenstein

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Andorra
2 : 0
Liechtenstein
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Tanzania
0 : 1
Liechtenstein
18 Nov
Belgium
7 : 0
Liechtenstein
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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