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North Macedonia W vs Latvia W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Trening Centar Petar Miloševski
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

North Macedonia W play Latvia W in the UEFA Nations League Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, North Macedonia W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. Latvia W averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, North Macedonia W won 2, Latvia W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 30, 2025 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for North Macedonia W and 2.06 for Latvia W. This points to a Latvia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
North Macedonia W
15%
Draws
53%
Latvia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Latvia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • North Macedonia W picked up more points recently compared to Latvia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 2.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
North Macedonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia W Latvia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Euro Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
3:4
Sep 1, 2022 World Cup Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksuti U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Latvia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miksone K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia W 31 / 100
Latvia W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia W Latvia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Latvia W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Macedonia W attacking → ← attacking Latvia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Macedonia W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Latvia W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

North Macedonia W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Latvia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 37
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Slovakia W660027:118
2Faroe Islands W631210:610
3Moldova W62136:67
4Gibraltar W60060:300
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Malta W64118:513
2Cyprus W63129:810
3Georgia W62049:116
4Andorra W61236:85
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Luxembourg W651020:616
2Kazakhstan W631214:910
3Armenia W621313:117
4Liechtenstein W60155:261
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Montenegro W42205:28
2Azerbaijan W41213:65
3Lithuania W41036:63
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Israel W431012:510
2Estonia W41122:64
3Bulgaria W40224:72
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Latvia W42206:48
2Kosovo W42119:37
3North Macedonia W40132:101