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North Macedonia W vs Latvia W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Trening Centar Petar Miloševski, Skopje
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Miksone K.
14'
Kolarovska S.
31' Event
Maksuti U.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between North Macedonia W and Latvia W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Latvia W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
North Macedonia W
15%
Draws
0%
Latvia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Macedonia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Latvia W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • North Macedonia W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
North Macedonia W Clean Sheet 10%
Latvia W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Macedonia W Latvia W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Jul 12, 2024 Euro Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
1:2
Apr 5, 2024 Euro Women
Latvia W vs North Macedonia W
3:4
Sep 1, 2022 World Cup Women
North Macedonia W vs Latvia W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Macedonia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Maksuti U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Latvia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miksone K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Macedonia W 40 / 100
Latvia W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Macedonia W Latvia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Latvia W's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Latvia W let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

North Macedonia W's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

North Macedonia W VS Latvia W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Macedonia W

(Home)
09 Jun
North Macedonia W
1 : 3
Azerbaijan W
05 Jun
Andorra W
0 : 1
North Macedonia W
18 Apr
Hungary W
7 : 0
North Macedonia W
14 Apr
North Macedonia W
0 : 5
Hungary W
07 Mar
North Macedonia W
3 : 0
Andorra W
Page 1 of 6

Latvia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Latvia W
1 : 2
Slovakia W
05 Jun
Portugal W
5 : 0
Latvia W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 3
Portugal W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams