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North Star vs Capalaba FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Park O.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between North Star and Capalaba FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Star.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
North Star
20%
Draws
23%
Capalaba FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: North Star

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and North Star come out ahead of Capalaba FC on wins alone.
  • North Star are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
North Star Clean Sheet 18%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Capalaba FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 21
Goals Scored 1.33 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.9 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Capalaba FC
1:0
Apr 24, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs North Star
2:3
Aug 30, 2014 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Capalaba FC
2:1
May 10, 2014 Brisbane Premier League
Capalaba FC vs North Star
6:1
Jul 27, 2013 Brisbane Premier League
North Star vs Capalaba FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Park O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Capalaba FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 67 / 100
Capalaba FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Capalaba FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Star Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capalaba FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: North Star stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Capalaba FC
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
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Capalaba FC

(Away)
15 Aug
Capalaba FC
1 : 2
Robina City
09 Aug
Ipswich
3 : 0
Capalaba FC
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1
Capalaba FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
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