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North Star vs Holland Park Hawks

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Wieser K.
(Penalty)
65' Event
Stephens T.
70' Event
McDonnell B.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between North Star and Holland Park Hawks finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holland Park Hawks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
North Star
40%
Draws
29%
Holland Park Hawks
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holland Park Hawks come out ahead of North Star on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%
Holland Park Hawks Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Holland Park Hawks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Holland Park Hawks vs North Star
0:0
Apr 12, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Holland Park Hawks
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephens T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Holland Park Hawks Compare

Top Goalscorer McDonnell B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 30 / 100
Holland Park Hawks 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Holland Park Hawks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Star's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Holland Park Hawks conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: North Star stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Holland Park Hawks
1 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
04 Jul
North Star
1 : 2
Redlands
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
20 Jun
North Star
1 : 3
Broadbeach Utd.
Page 1 of 6

Holland Park Hawks

(Away)
19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0
Holland Park Hawks
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
03 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 3
Holland Park Hawks
26 Jun
Holland Park Hawks
1 : 4
Redlands
23 Jun
Logan Lightning
2 : 3
Holland Park Hawks
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)