Sport Picks

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North Star vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Newcome B.
53' Event
Westwood-Pritchard D.
87' Event
Stephens T.

AI Match Summary

Sunshine Coast Wanderers in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
North Star
20%
Draws
40%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunshine Coast Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than North Star.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
North Star Clean Sheet 15%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs North Star
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephens T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Newcome B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westwood-Pritchard D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 31 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Sunshine Coast Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunshine Coast Wanderers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: North Star stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
15 Aug
North Star
2 : 1
Caboolture
09 Aug
North Star
1 : 0
Robina City
31 Jul
North Star
1 : 0
Capalaba FC
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
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Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Away)
05 Sept
Broadbeach Utd.
2 : 0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
30 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Aug
St. George Willawong
1 : 6
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
09 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2 : 1
Broadbeach Utd.
01 Aug
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane Strikers 22 17 3 2 52:18 54
2 Broadbeach Utd. 22 16 4 2 51:20 52
3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 22 10 7 5 46:28 37
4 Ipswich 22 10 5 7 35:30 35
5 Robina City 22 9 5 8 36:29 32
6 Caboolture 22 9 4 9 45:38 31
7 Redlands 22 8 6 8 40:38 30
8 Holland Park Hawks 22 9 3 10 40:48 30
9 Logan Lightning 22 8 3 11 39:41 27
10 North Star 22 6 3 13 22:41 21
11 St. George Willawong 22 4 1 17 13:52 13
12 Capalaba FC 22 3 2 17 21:57 11
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)