Sport Picks

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North Star vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League O'Callaghan Park, Zillmere
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Newcome B.
53' Event
Westwood-Pritchard D.
87' Event
Stephens T.

AI Match Summary

Sunshine Coast Wanderers in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
North Star
6%
Draws
90%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunshine Coast Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than North Star.
  • Model gives Sunshine Coast Wanderers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
North Star Clean Sheet 10%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Star Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs North Star
1:0
Mar 7, 2026 Queensland Premier League
North Star vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Star Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephens T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Newcome B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Westwood-Pritchard D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Star 10 / 100
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Star Sunshine Coast Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunshine Coast Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: North Star scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: North Star stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Star VS Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

North Star

(Home)
18 Jul
Ipswich
3 : 2
North Star
10 Jul
Holland Park Hawks
0 : 0
North Star
04 Jul
North Star
1 : 2
Redlands
27 Jun
St. George Willawong
2 : 0
North Star
20 Jun
North Star
1 : 3
Broadbeach Utd.
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Sunshine Coast Wanderers

(Away)
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
12 Jul
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 2
Brisbane Strikers
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
27 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0
Robina City
20 Jun
Capalaba FC
0 : 5
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)