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North Texas vs Portland Timbers 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium, Arlington, TX
North Texas Logo

North Texas

0 - 3
FT
Portland Timbers 2 Logo

Portland Timbers 2

Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Cervantes D.
Assist: Mueller H.
42'
Cervantes D.
45'
Jura S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Portland Timbers 2 in this MLS Next Pro matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Portland Timbers 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
North Texas
15%
Draws
42%
Portland Timbers 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • North Texas haven't matched Portland Timbers 2's recent run of results.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on North Texas taking it.
  • Regular MLS Next Pro form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors North Texas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
North Texas Clean Sheet 10%
Portland Timbers 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric North Texas Portland Timbers 2
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 20
Draws 0 0
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.6 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Portland Timbers 2
0:3
Apr 19, 2026 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs North Texas
2:3
Apr 5, 2025 MLS Next Pro
Portland Timbers 2 vs North Texas
1:2
May 19, 2024 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Portland Timbers 2
2:1
Jul 30, 2023 MLS Next Pro
North Texas vs Portland Timbers 2
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Portland Timbers 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Izoita E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 47 / 100
Portland Timbers 2 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
North Texas Portland Timbers 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Texas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

North Texas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: North Texas stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Portland Timbers 2 conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

North Texas VS Portland Timbers 2
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Texas

(Home)
20 Sept
Colorado Rapids 2
2 : 1
North Texas
14 Sept
North Texas
1 : 0
Houston Dynamo 2
10 Sept
North Texas
2 : 3
Houston Dynamo 2
05 Sept
North Texas
4 : 1
Real Monarchs
29 Aug
St. Louis City 2
1 : 2
North Texas
Page 1 of 6

Portland Timbers 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Tacoma Defiance
2 : 1
Portland Timbers 2
14 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
St. Louis City 2
07 Sept
Portland Timbers 2
0 : 1
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
30 Aug
Portland Timbers 2
2 : 1
Austin FC II
24 Aug
Ventura County
2 : 3
Portland Timbers 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
2 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
3 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
4 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
5 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
6 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
7 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
8 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
5 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
6 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
7 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
8 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
2 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
3 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
4 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
5 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
6 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
7 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
3 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
4 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
5 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
6 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
7 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crown Legacy 28 20 0 8 67:39 58
2 Chattanooga 28 19 0 9 56:39 56
3 Atlanta United 2 28 15 0 13 62:46 48
4 Columbus Crew 2 28 17 0 11 49:43 48
5 New England Revolution II 28 16 0 12 47:42 48
6 New York City II 28 16 0 12 50:44 47
7 CT United FC 28 16 0 12 59:52 46
8 New York Red Bulls II 28 15 0 13 58:48 46
9 Huntsville City 28 14 0 14 49:47 44
10 Orlando City B 28 15 0 13 55:56 44
11 Philadelphia Union II 28 14 0 14 37:40 43
12 Toronto FC II 28 13 0 15 48:56 39
13 Chicago Fire II 28 13 0 15 50:48 39
14 Carolina Core 28 10 0 18 40:53 31
15 FC Cincinnati 2 28 7 0 21 32:62 20
16 Inter Miami II 28 4 0 24 30:74 15
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austin FC II 28 21 0 7 54:21 65
2 Portland Timbers 2 28 19 0 9 37:29 57
3 Ventura County 28 18 0 10 58:36 53
4 Houston Dynamo 2 28 18 0 10 53:33 52
5 Minnesota United 2 28 15 0 13 43:39 45
6 Los Angeles FC 2 28 14 0 14 50:48 45
7 St. Louis City 2 28 14 0 14 42:40 44
8 San Jose Earthquakes II 28 14 0 14 51:36 42
9 Tacoma Defiance 28 14 0 14 40:44 41
10 North Texas 28 14 0 14 42:41 40
11 Real Monarchs 28 12 0 16 38:55 33
12 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 28 10 0 18 39:62 27
13 Sporting Kansas City II 28 7 0 21 36:75 23
14 Colorado Rapids 2 28 6 0 22 28:52 21
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