Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium

North Texas

5 - 1

Sporting Kansas City II

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Nys E.

Assist: Louis R.

22'

Hines K.

Assist: Rodriguez M.

30'

Ortiz J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The MLS Next Pro game between North Texas and Sporting Kansas City II finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward North Texas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

North Texas

Draws

Sporting Kansas City II

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

North Texas carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans North Texas's way, sitting at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors North Texas here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

North Texas Clean Sheet 16%

Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Texas	Sporting Kansas City II
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	12	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	16	22
Goals Scored	1.63	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.38	2.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

5:1

Apr 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 43% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

3:2

Apr 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

1:4

Sep 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Jul 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 4 - 1

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Top Goalscorer James N.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Nys E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hines K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 84 / 100

Sporting Kansas City II 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Texas Sporting Kansas City II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NTX Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sporting Kansas City II has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

North Texas found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Sporting Kansas City II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

North Texas VS Sporting Kansas City II

1.63 Goals Scored 1.63

1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63

88% Over 1.5 100%

50% Over 2.5 88%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
2	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
3	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
4	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
5	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
6	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
7	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
8	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
3	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
4	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
5	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
6	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
7	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
8	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
4	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
5	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
6	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
4	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
5	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	18	13	5	44:27	37
2	Columbus Crew 2	18	13	5	33:29	36
3	Orlando City B	18	11	7	39:32	33
4	Chattanooga	18	12	6	34:29	33
5	New York Red Bulls II	18	10	8	39:27	32
6	New England Revolution II	17	11	6	23:20	32
7	Atlanta United 2	17	9	8	38:26	30
8	New York City II	16	9	7	27:23	28
9	Chicago Fire II	18	9	9	29:27	27
10	Philadelphia Union II	18	9	9	21:21	26
11	CT United FC	17	9	8	31:31	25
12	Toronto FC II	19	8	11	30:36	25
13	Huntsville City	17	7	10	29:35	22
14	Carolina Core	19	5	14	22:32	18
15	FC Cincinnati 2	18	5	13	17:34	14
16	Inter Miami II	16	1	15	14:41	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	17	13	4	36:16	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	16	13	3	37:14	37
3	Portland Timbers 2	18	11	7	23:22	34
4	Minnesota United 2	19	10	9	28:31	29
5	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
6	Los Angeles FC 2	17	9	8	28:28	29
7	St. Louis City 2	18	10	8	29:30	29
8	San Jose Earthquakes II	16	9	7	37:19	28
9	Real Monarchs	18	10	8	29:31	26
10	Tacoma Defiance	18	8	10	19:24	24
11	North Texas	16	7	9	26:21	22
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	19	6	13	25:40	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	18	3	15	16:35	12