Sport Picks

USA

MLS Next Pro Choctaw Stadium

Sporting Kansas City II

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

North Texas play Sporting Kansas City II in the MLS Next Pro. North Texas are favorites here. Recently, North Texas averaged 1.7 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. Sporting Kansas City II averaged 1.44 goals scored and 2.69 conceded. In past meetings, North Texas won 4, Sporting Kansas City II won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.00 for North Texas and 1.63 for Sporting Kansas City II. This points to a North Texas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

North Texas

15%

Draws

25%

Sporting Kansas City II

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: North Texas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence

North Texas picked up more points recently compared to Sporting Kansas City II.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.00 vs 1.63 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 85%

Over 3.5 Goals 51%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72%

North Texas Clean Sheet 14%

Sporting Kansas City II Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	North Texas	Sporting Kansas City II
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	14	8
Draws	0	0
Losses	16	24
Goals Scored	1.7	1.44
Goals Conceded	1.87	2.69
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

5:1

Apr 11, 2026 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

3:2

Apr 5, 2026 MLS Next Pro

Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas

Possession: 45% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

1:4

Sep 15, 2025 MLS Next Pro

North Texas vs Sporting Kansas City II

Possession: 46% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Jul 19, 2025 MLS Next Pro

Sporting Kansas City II vs North Texas

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 0 - 2

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

North Texas Compare

Top Goalscorer James N.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Sporting Kansas City II Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ikoba T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

North Texas 57 / 100

Sporting Kansas City II 25 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

North Texas Sporting Kansas City II

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick North Texas Win (1)

Secondary Pick North Texas & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +15.2%

1.92

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.9%

1.27

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

North Texas attacking → ← attacking Sporting Kansas City II

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

North Texas scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Sporting Kansas City II let in goals in 100% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

North Texas went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sporting Kansas City II lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 24

1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63

1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
3	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
4	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
5	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
6	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
7	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
8	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
2	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
3	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
4	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
5	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
6	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
7	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
8	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
2	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
3	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
4	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
5	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
6	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
7	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
4	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
5	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
6	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
7	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Columbus Crew 2	17	12	5	31:27	34
2	Crown Legacy	16	12	4	41:22	34
3	New York Red Bulls II	17	10	7	39:24	32
4	Chattanooga	17	11	6	33:28	31
5	New England Revolution II	16	11	5	21:18	31
6	Orlando City B	17	10	7	37:31	30
7	Atlanta United 2	16	8	8	34:25	27
8	New York City II	15	8	7	24:23	25
9	Philadelphia Union II	17	8	9	21:21	24
10	Chicago Fire II	16	8	8	24:24	24
11	CT United FC	16	8	8	28:29	22
12	Toronto FC II	17	7	10	25:32	22
13	Huntsville City	16	7	9	29:35	21
14	Carolina Core	18	5	13	21:31	17
15	FC Cincinnati 2	16	5	11	15:29	14
16	Inter Miami II	15	1	14	13:37	5

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Austin FC II	16	13	3	34:13	40
2	Houston Dynamo 2	15	12	3	35:13	34
3	Portland Timbers 2	17	10	7	23:22	32
4	Ventura County	18	10	8	32:27	29
5	St. Louis City 2	17	10	7	28:28	29
6	San Jose Earthquakes II	15	9	6	37:18	28
7	Los Angeles FC 2	16	9	7	28:28	28
8	Minnesota United 2	18	9	9	25:29	26
9	Real Monarchs	17	9	8	27:30	23
10	North Texas	15	7	8	26:20	22
11	Tacoma Defiance	17	7	10	18:24	21
12	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	6	12	24:38	17
13	Sporting Kansas City II	18	4	14	23:50	13
14	Colorado Rapids 2	17	2	15	15:35	9