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Northampton vs Colchester - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northampton host Colchester in the League Two. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Northampton at 0.74 goals for, 1.7 against; Colchester at 1.34 for, 1.24 against. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2023, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 0.94, favoring Colchester. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Northampton
30%
Draws
23%
Colchester
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Northampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colchester come out ahead of Northampton on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Northampton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Northampton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Northampton Clean Sheet 20%
Colchester Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton Colchester
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.74 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2023 League Two
Colchester vs Northampton
0:1
Jul 30, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Colchester
3:2
Feb 19, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Colchester
3:0
Aug 14, 2021 League Two
Colchester vs Northampton
0:1
Apr 10, 2020 League Two
Northampton vs Colchester
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton 42 / 100
Colchester 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton Colchester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colchester let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Colchester's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Northampton scored in 52% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Northampton VS Colchester
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Northampton
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Northampton
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
Page 1 of 6

Colchester

(Away)
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0
Colchester
03 Oct
Colchester
1 : 2
Luton
26 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 2
Colchester
22 Sept
Peterborough
3 : 1
Colchester
19 Sept
Colchester
1 : 1
Cheltenham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)