Sport Picks
Northampton vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
38'
38'
Opoku N.
Assist: O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
42'
42'
Krasniqi K.
55'
55'
Evans L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Crawley Town lately — more wins on the board than Northampton.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Northampton Clean Sheet 20%
Crawley Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 4 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.76 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 League Two
Northampton vs Crawley Town
1:1
Apr 26, 2025 League One
Crawley Town vs Northampton
3:0
Oct 26, 2024 League One
Northampton vs Crawley Town
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 League Two
Northampton vs Crawley Town
1:0
Aug 16, 2022 League Two
Crawley Town vs Northampton
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Opoku N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Crawley Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereira D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 36 / 100
Crawley Town 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Crawley Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Crawley Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Crawley Town has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Crawley Town lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Northampton scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Crawley Town
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2 Northampton
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1 Northampton
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1 Northampton
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
Crawley Town
(Away) 20 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 3 Shrewsbury
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0 Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6
17 Oct
Salford
2 : 1 Crawley Town
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1 Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0 Crawley Town
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2 Crawley Town
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 19:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Barnet | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Crewe | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 15:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:22 | 18 |
| 6 | York City | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 17 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Shrewsbury | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:17 | 17 |
| 9 | Chesterfield | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 18:16 | 16 |
| 10 | Exeter | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8:6 | 16 |
| 11 | Accrington | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 12 | Newport | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 15 |
| 14 | Rochdale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 15 | Swindon | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:16 | 15 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16:20 | 15 |
| 17 | Grimsby | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 14 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14:15 | 14 |
| 19 | Colchester | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11:14 | 12 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | 12 |
| 21 | Oldham | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:20 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11:20 | 5 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
