Sport Picks
Northampton vs Newport
England
League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
31'
31'
Dibley-Dias M.
55'
55'
Sub
Chambers S. In: Warhurst M.
Out: Chambers S.
55'
55'
Sub
Lemonheigh-Evans C. In: Briggs L.
Out: Lemonheigh-Evans C.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Northampton and Newport finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Northampton.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Newport carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Northampton Clean Sheet 18%
Newport Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Newport |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 20 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.72 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 League Two
Northampton vs Newport
1:0
Apr 7, 2023 League Two
Newport vs Northampton
3:0
Oct 29, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Newport
1:1
Feb 8, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Newport
1:0
Sep 14, 2021 League Two
Newport vs Northampton
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Brien Whitmarsh J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Newport Compare
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 32 / 100
Newport 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Newport
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newport let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Northampton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Northampton scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Newport
0.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
Newport
(Away) 22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Salford
2 : 1 Newport
22 Aug
Bristol Rovers
5 : 3 Newport
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Walsall | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 3 | Grimsby | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 11:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Gillingham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | 12 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 6 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 7 | York City | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Crewe | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 12 | Salford | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 10 |
| 13 | Swindon | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 9 |
| 15 | Colchester | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 16 | Oldham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | 7 |
| 19 | Newport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | 6 |
| 20 | Exeter | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 21 | Accrington | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
