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Stadium Background

Northampton vs Oldham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northampton host Oldham in the League Two. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Northampton have averaged 0.74 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Oldham's 1.5 scored and 1.29 conceded. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.88, favoring Oldham. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Northampton
15%
Draws
36%
Oldham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Northampton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oldham lately — more wins on the board than Northampton.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Northampton Clean Sheet 68%
Oldham Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton Oldham
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 3 12
Draws 5 2
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.74 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 League Two
Northampton vs Oldham
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 FA Cup
Oldham vs Northampton
3:1
Apr 15, 2022 League Two
Oldham vs Northampton
0:2
Nov 23, 2021 League Two
Northampton vs Oldham
2:1
Mar 28, 2020 League Two
Northampton vs Oldham
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton 41 / 100
Oldham 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton Oldham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Northampton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oldham let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Northampton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Oldham registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northampton VS Oldham
0.38 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
38% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Northampton
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

Oldham

(Away)
26 Sept
Oldham
1 : 4
Salford
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0
Oldham
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2
Chesterfield
05 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 0
Oldham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 9 5 1 3 13:10 16
2 Barnet 7 4 3 0 17:10 15
3 Crewe 9 3 6 0 11:7 15
4 Cheltenham 9 4 3 2 16:14 15
5 Bristol Rovers 9 5 0 4 14:14 15
6 York City 8 4 2 2 16:10 14
7 Walsall 8 3 5 0 11:5 14
8 Chesterfield 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
9 Grimsby 9 3 4 2 13:10 13
10 Gillingham 9 3 4 2 11:9 13
11 Rochdale 9 4 1 4 10:11 13
12 Tranmere 9 2 5 2 12:12 11
13 Swindon 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
14 Shrewsbury 9 3 2 4 9:14 11
15 Newport 9 2 4 3 12:12 10
16 Accrington 9 2 4 3 13:14 10
17 Rotherham 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
18 Fleetwood Town 9 2 4 3 9:10 10
19 Colchester 8 2 4 2 10:12 10
20 Exeter 9 2 3 4 5:6 9
21 Oldham 8 2 1 5 9:13 7
22 Northampton 7 1 3 3 3:6 6
23 Port Vale 7 1 2 4 3:9 5
24 Crawley Town 7 1 1 5 6:13 4
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)