Sport Picks
Northampton vs Rotherham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
48'
48'
Austerfield J.
60'
60'
Sub
Iorfa D. In: Buyabu J.
Out: Iorfa D.
66'
66'
Ashley O.
AI Match Summary
Rotherham in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rotherham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Northampton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Rotherham have won more games recently than Northampton.
- Model gives Northampton a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Rotherham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Northampton Clean Sheet 68%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Northampton vs Rotherham
0:1
Jan 27, 2026 League One
Rotherham vs Northampton
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 League One
Northampton vs Rotherham
1:2
Apr 1, 2025 League One
Northampton vs Rotherham
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 League One
Rotherham vs Northampton
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 68 / 100
Rotherham 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Rotherham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Northampton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rotherham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Northampton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Rotherham lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Rotherham
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1 Oldham
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1 Northampton
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0 Colchester
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1 Oldham
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0 Colchester
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 3
Rotherham
(Away) 03 Nov
Rotherham
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd U21
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1 Rotherham
24 Oct
Rotherham
3 : 3 Shrewsbury
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2 Newport
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Rotherham
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Swindon
2 : 1 Rotherham
17 Oct
Fleetwood Town
2 : 0 Rotherham
03 Oct
Exeter
1 : 0 Rotherham
22 Sept
York City
1 : 2 Rotherham
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
