Sport Picks
Northampton vs Rotherham
England
League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
48'
48'
Austerfield J.
60'
60'
Sub
Iorfa D. In: Buyabu J.
Out: Iorfa D.
66'
66'
Ashley O.
AI Match Summary
Rotherham in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rotherham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Rotherham have won more games recently than Northampton.
- Model gives Northampton a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Rotherham here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Northampton Clean Sheet 19%
Rotherham Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.71 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 League Two
Northampton vs Rotherham
0:1
Jan 27, 2026 League One
Rotherham vs Northampton
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 League One
Northampton vs Rotherham
1:2
Apr 1, 2025 League One
Northampton vs Rotherham
0:2
Dec 14, 2024 League One
Rotherham vs Northampton
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 42 / 100
Rotherham 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Rotherham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rotherham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Northampton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Northampton scored in 54% of their last 28 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Rotherham
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
22 Aug
Crewe
1 : 0 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0 Swindon
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
Page 1 of 3
Rotherham
(Away) 12 Sept
Rotherham
3 : 3 Salford
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
29 Aug
Rotherham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
22 Aug
Rotherham
1 : 1 York City
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Bristol Rovers
1 : 0 Rotherham
01 Sept
Tranmere
2 : 2 Rotherham
15 Aug
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Rotherham
28 Jul
Darlington FC
0 : 2 Rotherham
21 Jul
Alfreton
0 : 1 Rotherham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:9 | 12 |
| 2 | Bristol Rovers | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 3 | York City | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 4 | Cheltenham | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 11 |
| 5 | Walsall | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:4 | 10 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 9:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Fleetwood Town | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Crewe | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Swindon | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 12 | Chesterfield | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 13 | Colchester | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 14 | Oldham | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 15 | Salford | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 16 | Rotherham | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | 6 |
| 17 | Northampton | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | 6 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | 6 |
| 19 | Newport | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:11 | 5 |
| 20 | Exeter | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 21 | Accrington | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | 5 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | 5 |
| 23 | Crawley Town | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
