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Northampton vs Tranmere - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League Two Sixfields Stadium, Northampton
Tue, Oct 20, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northampton host Tranmere in the League Two. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Northampton at 0.75 goals for, 1.71 against; Tranmere at 1 for, 1.52 against. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2023, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.06, favoring Tranmere. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Northampton
35%
Draws
39%
Tranmere
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Tranmere

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tranmere lately — more wins on the board than Northampton.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Northampton have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Northampton Clean Sheet 20%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northampton Tranmere
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2023 League Two
Tranmere vs Northampton
0:1
Dec 3, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Tranmere
0:0
Mar 5, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Tranmere
3:2
Oct 23, 2021 League Two
Tranmere vs Northampton
0:2
Feb 5, 2019 League Two
Tranmere vs Northampton
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northampton 36 / 100
Tranmere 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northampton Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tranmere Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranmere let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Northampton found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Northampton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northampton VS Tranmere
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Northampton

(Home)
10 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Northampton
06 Oct
Cambridge Utd
2 : 1
Northampton
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1
Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0
Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0
Newport
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Tranmere

(Away)
10 Oct
Tranmere
1 : 1
Rochdale
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2
Tranmere
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1
Walsall
22 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 0
Shrewsbury
19 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0
Tranmere
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salford 10 6 1 3 15:10 19
2 Barnet 8 5 3 0 20:11 18
3 Crewe 10 4 6 0 12:7 18
4 Gillingham 10 4 4 2 15:10 16
5 York City 9 4 3 2 17:11 15
6 Walsall 9 3 6 0 12:6 15
7 Chesterfield 10 4 3 3 17:14 15
8 Cheltenham 10 4 3 3 16:16 15
9 Bristol Rovers 10 5 0 5 15:17 15
10 Rochdale 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
11 Grimsby 10 3 4 3 13:11 13
12 Newport 10 3 4 3 13:12 13
13 Tranmere 10 2 6 2 13:13 12
14 Exeter 10 3 3 4 6:6 12
15 Accrington 10 2 5 3 13:14 11
16 Fleetwood Town 10 2 5 3 10:11 11
17 Swindon 10 3 2 5 9:14 11
18 Shrewsbury 10 3 2 5 9:15 11
19 Colchester 9 2 4 3 10:13 10
20 Rotherham 10 2 4 4 12:16 10
21 Oldham 9 2 2 5 9:13 8
22 Port Vale 8 2 2 4 4:9 8
23 Northampton 8 1 4 3 4:7 7
24 Crawley Town 8 1 2 5 8:15 5
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)