Sport Picks
Northampton vs Walsall Prediction & H2H Stats
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
5'
5'
Adomah A.
Assist: Warrington L.
18'
18'
Swyer K.
Assist: Vale J.
24'
24'
Hancock M.
AI Match Summary
Northampton in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Walsall lately — more wins on the board than Northampton.
- Model gives Northampton a 42% chance of winning this.
- Walsall arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 27%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Northampton Clean Sheet 20%
Walsall Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 28 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 18 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.73 | 0.96 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2026 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Walsall
4:2
Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy
Walsall vs Northampton
0:1
Feb 4, 2023 League Two
Northampton vs Walsall
0:0
Oct 4, 2022 League Two
Walsall vs Northampton
1:0
Mar 1, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Walsall
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Swyer K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hoskins S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Walsall Compare
Top Goalscorer Adomah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 42 / 100
Walsall 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Walsall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Walsall has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Northampton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Northampton scored in 50% of their last 26 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Walsall
0.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
12 Sept
Shrewsbury
2 : 0 Northampton
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
29 Aug
Gillingham
1 : 1 Northampton
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Northampton
0 : 1 Rotherham
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
01 Sept
Northampton
1 : 1 Crawley Town
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
15 Aug
Northampton
0 : 0 Swindon
Page 1 of 3
Walsall
(Away) 26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1 Walsall
22 Sept
Walsall
1 : 6 Stevenage
19 Sept
Walsall
2 : 0 Port Vale
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0 Rochdale
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Tranmere
1 : 1 Walsall
05 Sept
Exeter
0 : 0 Walsall
01 Sept
Crewe
2 : 2 Walsall
15 Aug
Gillingham
0 : 3 Walsall
06 Aug
Bristol City
0 : 1 Walsall
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City 0
Huddersfield 2
Salford 2
Rotherham 7
Doncaster 5
Chesterfield 1
Tranmere 0
Fleetwood Town 3
Bolton 3
Bradford City 0
Port Vale 5
Barnsley 0
Crewe 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 4
Blackpool 2
Luton 4
Exeter 0
Swindon 1
Peterborough 0
Bristol Rovers 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Leyton Orient 0
Plymouth 1
Cardiff 1
AFC Wimbledon 5
Colchester 0
West Ham U21 1
Northampton 2
Wycombe 0
Stevenage 1
Walsall 2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield 3
Rotherham 0
Doncaster 3
Fleetwood Town 1
Bolton 0
Port Vale 1
Stockport County 2
Harrogate 1
Luton 1
Swindon 2
Bristol Rovers 3
Plymouth 4
AFC Wimbledon 4
West Ham U21 2
Northampton 4
Walsall 2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield 1
Doncaster 2
Port Vale 0
Stockport County 4
Luton 2
Plymouth 1
AFC Wimbledon 1
Northampton 2
Semi-finals
Doncaster 0
Stockport County 1
Luton 2
Northampton 1
Final
Stockport County 1
Luton 3
