Sport Picks
Northampton vs Walsall
England
EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Sixfields Stadium, Northampton 
Match Events
5'
5'
Adomah A.
Assist: Warrington L.
18'
18'
Swyer K.
Assist: Vale J.
24'
24'
Hancock M.
AI Match Summary
Northampton in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northampton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Walsall lately — more wins on the board than Northampton.
- Model gives Northampton a 90% chance of winning this.
- Walsall arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Northampton Clean Sheet 68%
Walsall Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northampton | Walsall |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 20 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 14, 2026 EFL Trophy
Northampton vs Walsall
4:2
Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy
Walsall vs Northampton
0:1
Feb 4, 2023 League Two
Northampton vs Walsall
0:0
Oct 4, 2022 League Two
Walsall vs Northampton
1:0
Mar 1, 2022 League Two
Northampton vs Walsall
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northampton Compare
Top Goalscorer Swyer K.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hoskins S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38
Walsall Compare
Top Goalscorer Adomah A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kanu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northampton 95 / 100
Walsall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northampton Walsall
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Walsall has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Northampton found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Northampton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Northampton VS Walsall
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Northampton
(Home) 28 Jul
Cambridge Utd
0 : 0 Northampton
22 Jul
Southend
1 : 3 Northampton
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0 Northampton
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Northampton
0 : 0 Coventry
02 May
Northampton
2 : 3 Plymouth
28 Apr
Northampton
0 : 1 Barnsley
18 Apr
Northampton
1 : 3 Doncaster
06 Apr
Northampton
1 : 3 Wigan
Page 1 of 3
Walsall
(Away) 25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
21 Jul
Walsall
0 : 5 Aston Villa
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0 Walsall
02 May
Bromley
3 : 1 Walsall
25 Apr
Walsall
0 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Telford
1 : 0 Walsall
11 Jul
Leamington
0 : 0 Walsall
02 May
Bromley
3 : 1 Walsall
18 Apr
Barrow
1 : 3 Walsall
06 Apr
Swindon
2 : 1 Walsall
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Lincoln City0
Huddersfield2
Salford2
Rotherham7
Doncaster5
Chesterfield1
Tranmere0
Fleetwood Town3
Bolton3
Bradford City0
Port Vale5
Barnsley0
Crewe1
Stockport County2
Harrogate4
Blackpool2
Luton4
Exeter0
Swindon1
Peterborough0
Bristol Rovers3
Cambridge Utd2
Leyton Orient0
Plymouth1
Cardiff1
AFC Wimbledon5
Colchester0
West Ham U211
Northampton2
Wycombe0
Stevenage1
Walsall2
1/8-finals
Huddersfield3
Rotherham0
Doncaster3
Fleetwood Town1
Bolton0
Port Vale1
Stockport County2
Harrogate1
Luton1
Swindon2
Bristol Rovers3
Plymouth4
AFC Wimbledon4
West Ham U212
Northampton4
Walsall2
Quarter-finals
Huddersfield1
Doncaster2
Port Vale0
Stockport County4
Luton2
Plymouth1
AFC Wimbledon1
Northampton2
Semi-finals
Doncaster0
Stockport County1
Luton2
Northampton1
Final
Stockport County1
Luton3
