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Northern Colorado vs Lexington

USA USA

USL League One 2024 Future Legends Complex
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Rendon B.
17'
Fox K.
20' Event
King B.

AI Match Summary

Northern Colorado play Lexington in the USL League One 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Colorado averaged 0 goals scored and 0 conceded. Lexington averaged 1.88 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Colorado won 2, Lexington won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 8, 2024 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Northern Colorado and 1.49 for Lexington. This points to a Northern Colorado double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Northern Colorado
20%
Draws
38%
Lexington
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Northern Colorado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Northern Colorado has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Lexington.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Northern Colorado.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in USL League One 2024 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Northern Colorado Clean Sheet 16%
Lexington Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Colorado Lexington
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 22 15
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 0 1.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2024 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Lexington
5:1
Mar 10, 2024 USL League One
Lexington vs Northern Colorado
0:0
Sep 7, 2023 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Lexington
3:2
Aug 6, 2023 USL League One
Northern Colorado vs Lexington
3:4
Jun 3, 2023 USL League One
Lexington vs Northern Colorado
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Colorado Compare

Top Goalscorer King B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rendon B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Lexington Compare

Top Goalscorer Lancaster C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Colorado 41 / 100
Lexington 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Colorado Lexington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Colorado scored in 87% of their last 31 games.

Lexington let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Northern Colorado went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Lexington lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lexington
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Omaha22153447:2448
2Northern Colorado22125534:1841
3Forward Madison22109335:1839
4Greenville Triumph22114739:2837
5One Knoxville2298523:1635
6Charlotte Independence2297637:3134
7Spokane Velocity2276926:3527
8Richmond Kickers22661025:3424
9Lexington22561133:4221
10South Georgia Tormenta22481033:4220
11Chattanooga Red Wolves22531428:4818
12Central Valley Fuego22531427:5118