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Northern Fury vs Gold Coast City

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Kyle J.
80' Event
Kyle J.

AI Match Summary

Gold Coast City in this NPL Queensland 2017 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gold Coast City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Northern Fury
40%
Draws
29%
Gold Coast City
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gold Coast City have won more games recently than Northern Fury.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Northern Fury Clean Sheet 10%
Gold Coast City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Fury Gold Coast City
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 7 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.88 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2017 NPL Queensland
Gold Coast City vs Northern Fury
2:2
Apr 8, 2017 NPL Queensland
Northern Fury vs Gold Coast City
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Fury Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Gold Coast City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kyle J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Fury 30 / 100
Gold Coast City 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Fury Gold Coast City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Fury scored in 73% of their last 22 games.

Defensive concern: Gold Coast City conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Gold Coast City's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Fury VS Gold Coast City
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Fury

(Home)
19 Aug
Western Pride
8 : 0
Northern Fury
12 Aug
Northern Fury
0 : 0
Olympic FC
06 Aug
Brisbane Roar U21
1 : 5
Northern Fury
29 Jul
Northern Fury
1 : 5
Brisbane Strikers
22 Jul
Northern Fury
1 : 5
Western Pride
Page 1 of 5

Gold Coast City

(Away)
20 Sept
Gold Coast City
0 : 6
South Melbourne
26 Aug
Gold Coast City
0 : 3
Western Pride
23 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
0 : 1
Gold Coast City
19 Aug
Moreton Bay Utd
3 : 0
Gold Coast City
12 Aug
Gold Coast City
0 : 1
Western Pride
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers22163368:2151
2Gold Coast City22153459:2548
3Western Pride22125573:2741
4Moreton Bay Utd22125549:2741
5Olympic FC22124657:2740
6Brisbane City22121951:3237
7Cairns2294938:3731
8Northern Fury22741136:5525
9Redlands22641230:5322
10SWQ Thunder22621426:5120
11Brisbane Roar U2122531433:6618
12Sunshine Coast22022018:1172
Promotion - Northern NSW 2017 (Final Stage)