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Northern Indiana vs Union FC Macomb

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
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AI Match Summary

The USL League Two 2025 game between Northern Indiana and Union FC Macomb finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Northern Indiana
11%
Draws
9%
Union FC Macomb
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Northern Indiana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Northern Indiana come out ahead of Union FC Macomb on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Northern Indiana's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Northern Indiana Clean Sheet 14%
Union FC Macomb Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Indiana Union FC Macomb
Matches Played 24 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 USL League Two
Northern Indiana vs Union FC Macomb
1:1
Jun 20, 2025 USL League Two
Union FC Macomb vs Northern Indiana
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Indiana 75 / 100
Union FC Macomb 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Indiana Union FC Macomb

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Union FC Macomb conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Northern Indiana stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Northern Indiana's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 24 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Northern Indiana VS Union FC Macomb
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%