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Northern Ireland U17 W vs Italy U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U17 W host Italy U17 W in the Euro U17 Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Northern Ireland U17 W have averaged 1.37 scored and 1.96 conceded recently, against Italy U17 W's 1.86 scored and 1.24 conceded. Head-to-head, Northern Ireland U17 W have won 1 to Italy U17 W's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 17, 2019, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.44, favoring Italy U17 W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Northern Ireland U17 W
15%
Draws
46%
Italy U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Italy U17 W lately — more wins on the board than Northern Ireland U17 W.
  • Model gives Italy U17 W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U17 Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Italy U17 W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Northern Ireland U17 W Clean Sheet 16%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U17 W Italy U17 W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 10 15
Draws 3 6
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.37 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2019 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Northern Ireland U17 W
4:0
Oct 3, 2015 Euro U17 Women
Northern Ireland U17 W vs Italy U17 W
0:5
Sep 12, 2012 Euro U17 Women
Northern Ireland U17 W vs Italy U17 W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U17 W 23 / 100
Italy U17 W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U17 W Italy U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Italy U17 W has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Northern Ireland U17 W scored in 59% of their last 27 games.

Northern Ireland U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U17 W VS Italy U17 W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland U17 W

(Home)
07 Oct
Norway U17 W
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U17 W
10 May
Germany U17 W
0 : 1
Northern Ireland U17 W
07 May
Northern Ireland U17 W
0 : 3
Norway U17 W
04 May
Northern Ireland U17 W
0 : 2
England U17 W
06 Mar
Northern Ireland U17 W
3 : 0
North Macedonia U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17 W

(Away)
07 Oct
Italy U17 W
1 : 3
Austria U17 W
17 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 2
Hungary U17 W
15 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 1
Hungary U17 W
19 Mar
Italy U17 W
2 : 3
England U17 W
16 Mar
Italy U17 W
3 : 0
Turkey U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Austria U17 W 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Italy U17 W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Northern Ireland U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bulgaria U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Croatia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Poland U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Slovakia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 1 1 0 0 9:0 3
2 Czech Republic U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iceland U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kazakhstan U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Portugal U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Spain U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Switzerland U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Netherlands U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Israel U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sweden U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U17 W 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Scotland U17 W 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Romania U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
4 Ukraine U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Belarus U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Denmark U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Hungary U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)