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Northern Ireland U17 W vs Luxembourg U17 W

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women 2026 Terrain Kuerzwénkel
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Thill L.
26'
Sub
Martins I. In: Vaessen K.
Out: Martins I.
46'
Sub
Feil A. In: Riggio E.
Out: Feil A.

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Ireland U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Northern Ireland U17 W
6%
Draws
4%
Luxembourg U17 W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Ireland U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U17 W have won more games recently than Luxembourg U17 W.
  • Northern Ireland U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Northern Ireland U17 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Northern Ireland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Luxembourg U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U17 W Luxembourg U17 W
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 3
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Euro U17 Women
Luxembourg U17 W vs Northern Ireland U17 W
1:4
Nov 9, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Northern Ireland U17 W vs Luxembourg U17 W
2:1
Feb 24, 2024 Euro U17 Women
Northern Ireland U17 W vs Luxembourg U17 W
4:1
Mar 10, 2022 Euro U17 Women
Northern Ireland U17 W vs Luxembourg U17 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smyth A.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Luxembourg U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Riggio E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U17 W 83 / 100
Luxembourg U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U17 W Luxembourg U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Luxembourg U17 W let in goals in 62% of their last 26 matches.

Northern Ireland U17 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Luxembourg U17 W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U17 W VS Luxembourg U17 W
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wales U17 W321013:27
2Kosovo U17 W32108:17
3Moldova U17 W30121:61
4Azerbaijan U17 W30120:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Greece U17 W32105:27
2Israel U17 W31206:45
3Albania U17 W30213:52
4Estonia U17 W30123:61
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Latvia U17 W32014:36
2Kazakhstan U17 W31114:34
3Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W31112:24
4Georgia U17 W31026:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Turkey U17 W22005:26
2Northern Ireland U17 W21013:33
3Luxembourg U17 W20022:50
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sweden U17 W220012:06
2Lithuania U17 W21013:103
3Malta U17 W20021:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iceland U17 W22009:26
2Slovenia U17 W21013:43
3Faroe Islands U17 W20023:90