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Northern Ireland U19 vs Slovakia U19

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Friendly International 2024 Inver Park
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AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland U19 play Slovakia U19 in the Friendly International 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Ireland U19 averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Slovakia U19 averaged 1.34 goals scored and 1.76 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland U19 won 1, Slovakia U19 won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 10, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Northern Ireland U19 and 1.13 for Slovakia U19. This points to a Slovakia U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Northern Ireland U19
29%
Draws
39%
Slovakia U19
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Slovakia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Northern Ireland U19 picked up more points recently compared to Slovakia U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Northern Ireland U19 Clean Sheet 21%
Slovakia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U19 Slovakia U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.69 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U19 vs Slovakia U19
1:1
Jun 7, 2024 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U19 vs Slovakia U19
2:2
Sep 7, 2018 Friendly International
Northern Ireland U19 vs Slovakia U19
4:1
Oct 6, 2016 Euro U19
Northern Ireland U19 vs Slovakia U19
0:1
Nov 16, 2015 Euro U19
Northern Ireland U19 vs Slovakia U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Evans R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Slovakia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zahradnik Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U19 33 / 100
Slovakia U19 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U19 Slovakia U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slovakia U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.3%
2.08
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northern Ireland U19 attacking → ← attacking Slovakia U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland U19 scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Slovakia U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Northern Ireland U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Slovakia U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 31
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00