Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland U21 vs Ukraine U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Forbes M.
10' Event
Voloshyn N.
Assist: Ocheretko O.
30' Event
Bragaru M.
Assist: Yarmolyuk Y.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Northern Ireland U21 and Ukraine U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Northern Ireland U21
40%
Draws
29%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ukraine U21 come out ahead of Northern Ireland U21 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Northern Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 14%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:2
Sep 12, 2023 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
1:0
Nov 17, 2020 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
3:0
Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21
Northern Ireland U21 vs Ukraine U21
1:0
Oct 6, 2016 Euro U21
Ukraine U21 vs Northern Ireland U21
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Voloshyn N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bragaru M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland U21 31 / 100
Ukraine U21 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U21 let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Ukraine U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Northern Ireland U21's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland U21 VS Ukraine U21
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland U21

(Home)
03 Jun
Portugal U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
31 Mar
Latvia U21
1 : 3
Northern Ireland U21
27 Mar
Germany U21
3 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
18 Nov
Greece U21
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U21
13 Nov
Northern Ireland U21
1 : 0
Latvia U21
Page 1 of 6

Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U211064027:422
2Norway U211061328:1119
3Ireland U211054124:1219
4Turkey U211041521:1513
5Latvia U211032510:1811
6San Marino U211000101:510
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U211091028:528
2Belgium U211061313:619
3Scotland U211051419:1116
4Hungary U211051412:816
5Kazakhstan U211030713:249
6Malta U211000104:350
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110100032:330
2Georgia U211061314:1019
3Sweden U211052325:1017
4North Macedonia U21104068:1512
5Moldova U21102177:207
6Gibraltar U21101093:313
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U211082035:1026
2Poland U211071224:1022
3Bulgaria U211043317:1215
4Kosovo U211033410:1712
5Estonia U21102177:317
6Israel U21101095:183
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Romania U211071223:1022
2Finland U211062221:820
3Switzerland U211053221:1218
4Albania U211051412:1716
5Montenegro U21102178:197
6Armenia U21100282:212
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U211081141:625
2Ukraine U211080220:724
3Serbia U211051413:1816
4Northern Ireland U211032510:1011
5Luxembourg U21102266:238
6Azerbaijan U21101094:303
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U211090133:627
2Croatia U211071220:1422
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Faroe Islands U211031611:2410
5Belarus U21101366:206
6Andorra U21100374:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U21852113:717
2France U21851222:616
3Austria U21843112:615
4Cyprus U2181257:235
5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2181075:173
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U21852118:817
2Czech Republic U21842213:1114
3Wales U21842213:1114
4Iceland U2183059:149
5Lithuania U2181077:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)