Sport Picks
Northern Ireland vs Georgia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Europe
UEFA Nations League Windsor Park, Belfast 
Match Events
18'
18'
Kochorashvili G.
46'
46'
Sub
Kochorashvili G. In: Tsitaishvili G.
Out: Kochorashvili G.
65'
65'
Sub
Galbraith E. In: Spencer B.
Out: Galbraith E.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League game between Northern Ireland and Georgia finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Northern Ireland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Georgia haven't matched Northern Ireland's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Northern Ireland taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Northern Ireland have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 68%
Georgia Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northern Ireland | Georgia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Northern Ireland vs Georgia
0:0
Sep 25, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Georgia vs Northern Ireland
0:1
Mar 26, 2008 Friendly International
Northern Ireland vs Georgia
4:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Northern Ireland 59 / 100
Georgia 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Northern Ireland Georgia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Northern Ireland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Northern Ireland found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Georgia conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Northern Ireland remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Northern Ireland VS Georgia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Northern Ireland
(Home) 05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Georgia
02 Oct
Ukraine
0 : 3 Northern Ireland
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Hungary
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1 Northern Ireland
08 Jun
France
3 : 1 Northern Ireland
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Georgia
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Hungary
04 Jun
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Guinea
17 Nov
Northern Ireland
1 : 0 Luxembourg
13 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 1 Germany
Page 1 of 3
Georgia
(Away) 05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Georgia
02 Oct
Hungary
1 : 0 Georgia
28 Sept
Georgia
0 : 0 Ukraine
25 Sept
Georgia
0 : 1 Northern Ireland
05 Jun
Georgia
2 : 0 Bahrain
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Georgia
02 Oct
Hungary
1 : 0 Georgia
29 Mar
Lithuania
0 : 2 Georgia
18 Nov
Bulgaria
2 : 1 Georgia
14 Oct
Turkey
4 : 1 Georgia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
