Sport Picks
Northern Ireland vs Iceland
World
Friendly International 2025 Windsor Park 
AI Match Summary
Northern Ireland play Iceland in the Friendly International 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Ireland averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Iceland averaged 1.53 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland won 2, Iceland won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Northern Ireland and 1.44 for Iceland. This points to a Northern Ireland double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Northern Ireland picked up more points recently compared to Iceland.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 1.44 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Northern Ireland | Iceland |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Northern Ireland Compare
Iceland Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Northern Ireland scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Iceland let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Northern Ireland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Iceland lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics