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World Championship 2026 Windsor Park

Luxembourg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland play Luxembourg in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Ireland averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. Luxembourg averaged 0.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland won 4, Luxembourg won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 17, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Northern Ireland and 0.69 for Luxembourg. This points to a Northern Ireland double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Northern Ireland

33%

Draws

40%

Luxembourg

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luxembourg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Northern Ireland has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Luxembourg.
Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Luxembourg.
League standings and seasonal metrics in World Championship 2026 provide steady trend data.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%

Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 28%

Luxembourg Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Northern Ireland	Luxembourg
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	8
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	17
Goals Scored	1	0.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2025 World Championship

Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg

Possession: 41% - 53% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 2 - 2

2:2

Sep 5, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Mar 25, 2022 Friendly International

Luxembourg vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 45% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland 30 / 100

Luxembourg 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Northern Ireland Luxembourg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUX Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Luxembourg let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Northern Ireland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Luxembourg lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland VS Luxembourg

1 Goals Scored 0.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

50% Over 1.5 63%

25% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0