Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Windsor Park

Slovakia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland play Slovakia in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Northern Ireland averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Slovakia averaged 1.48 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, Northern Ireland won 1, Slovakia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 14, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Northern Ireland and 1.06 for Slovakia. This points to a Slovakia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Northern Ireland

17%

Draws

47%

Slovakia

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Slovakia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Northern Ireland picked up more points recently compared to Slovakia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 68%

Over 2.5 Goals 39%

Over 3.5 Goals 23%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Northern Ireland Clean Sheet 22%

Slovakia Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 61%

Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Northern Ireland	Slovakia
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	12	16
Draws	5	5
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.23	1.48
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.19
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Slovakia vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 59% - 54% Cards: 0 - 2

1:0

Oct 10, 2025 World Championship

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

Possession: 56% - 53% Cards: 4 - 3

2:0

Nov 12, 2020 Euro

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

Possession: 60% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Jun 4, 2016 Friendly International

Slovakia vs Northern Ireland

Possession: 44% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

0:0

Sep 9, 2009 World Championship

Northern Ireland vs Slovakia

Possession: 56% - 48% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland Compare

Top Goalscorer Hume T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Slovakia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland 37 / 100

Slovakia 44 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Northern Ireland Slovakia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Slovakia or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +28.5%

3.57

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +18.2%

3.03

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Northern Ireland attacking → ← attacking Slovakia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Slovakia let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Northern Ireland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Slovakia lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 53

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0