Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland W vs Iceland W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Ballymena Showgrounds, Ballymena
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Viggosdottir G.
Assist: Vilhjalmsdottir K.
35'
Johannsdottir A.
59'
Andrews J.

AI Match Summary

Iceland W in this UEFA Nations League Women tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Northern Ireland W
6%
Draws
4%
Iceland W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Ireland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iceland W average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Northern Ireland W's 1.25.
  • Model gives Northern Ireland W a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Iceland W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Iceland W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 16%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland W Iceland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Iceland W vs Northern Ireland W
3:0
Oct 24, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Northern Ireland W vs Iceland W
0:2
Mar 4, 2020 Friendly International Women
Northern Ireland W vs Iceland W
0:1
Sep 15, 2012 Euro Women
Iceland W vs Northern Ireland W
2:0
Oct 26, 2011 Euro Women
Northern Ireland W vs Iceland W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Iceland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Viggosdottir G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sigurdardottir I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland W 84 / 100
Iceland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland W Iceland W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Iceland W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Iceland W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland W VS Iceland W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Ireland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Northern Ireland W
1 : 2
Switzerland W
05 Jun
Turkey W
2 : 1
Northern Ireland W
18 Apr
Malta W
2 : 4
Northern Ireland W
14 Apr
Northern Ireland W
4 : 0
Malta W
07 Mar
Northern Ireland W
0 : 1
Turkey W
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Iceland W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Northern Ireland W0
Iceland W5
Finland W1
Denmark W8
Ireland W5
Belgium W4
Czech Republic W1
Austria W2