Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland W vs Poland W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Seaview
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pajor E.
Assist: Wiankowska M.
9' Event
Pajor E.
28' Event
Tomasiak P.
Assist: Pajor E.

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland W host Poland W in the UEFA Nations League Women. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Northern Ireland W at 1.25 goals for, 1.75 against; Poland W at 1.88 for, 1.63 against. Past meetings favor Poland W slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2025, ending 0:4. xG projections (1.44 - 1.81) back Poland W to edge this. Poland W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Northern Ireland W
6%
Draws
4%
Poland W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Ireland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Poland W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Northern Ireland W.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Northern Ireland W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in UEFA Nations League Women provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 11%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland W Poland W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Northern Ireland W vs Poland W
0:4
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Poland W vs Northern Ireland W
2:0
Mar 4, 2015 Istria Cup Women
Poland W vs Northern Ireland W
2:0
Mar 4, 2015 Friendly International Women
Poland W vs Northern Ireland W
2:0
Sep 13, 2014 World Cup Women
Poland W vs Northern Ireland W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Poland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pajor E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tomasiak P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland W 83 / 100
Poland W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland W Poland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Poland W let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Northern Ireland W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Poland W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland W VS Poland W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland W651016:216
2Northern Ireland W62226:108
3Bosnia & Herzegovina W61239:125
4Romania W61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia W650112:215
2Ireland W650110:615
3Turkey W62043:76
4Greece W60062:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia W64207:114
2Finland W63218:211
3Hungary W61142:64
4Belarus W60330:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine W64118:613
2Czech Republic W641117:413
3Albania W620410:126
4Croatia W61054:173