Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Northern Ireland W vs Romania W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Windsor Park
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Weir K.
Assist: Halliday K.
61'
Sub
Halliday K. In: Schofield C.
Out: Halliday K.
61'
Sub
Hamilton C. In: Johnson N.
Out: Hamilton C.

AI Match Summary

Northern Ireland W host Romania W in the UEFA Nations League Women. This one's hard to separate. Northern Ireland W have averaged 0.75 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Romania W's 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Romania W slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2025, ending 1:0. xG projections (0.75 - 1.44) back Romania W to edge this. Romania W in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Northern Ireland W
17%
Draws
70%
Romania W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Romania W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Romania W has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Northern Ireland W.
  • Model forecasts a 70% win probability edge for Romania W.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in UEFA Nations League Women provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Northern Ireland W Clean Sheet 16%
Romania W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Ireland W Romania W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.75 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Northern Ireland W vs Romania W
1:0
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Romania W vs Northern Ireland W
1:1
Feb 23, 2022 Friendly International Women
Northern Ireland W vs Romania W
0:1
Mar 6, 2015 Istria Cup Women
Northern Ireland W vs Romania W
0:1
Mar 6, 2015 Friendly International Women
Northern Ireland W vs Romania W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Ireland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Weir K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Romania W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Ireland W 15 / 100
Romania W 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Ireland W Romania W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ROM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Northern Ireland W scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Romania W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Northern Ireland W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Romania W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Ireland W VS Romania W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Poland W651016:216
2Northern Ireland W62226:108
3Bosnia & Herzegovina W61239:125
4Romania W61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia W650112:215
2Ireland W650110:615
3Turkey W62043:76
4Greece W60062:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Serbia W64207:114
2Finland W63218:211
3Hungary W61142:64
4Belarus W60330:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ukraine W64118:613
2Czech Republic W641117:413
3Albania W620410:126
4Croatia W61054:173