Sport Picks

Asia

East Asian Championship 2017

Northern Mariana Islands

1 - 3

Macau

Our Tip

Match Events

Ka Seng L.

11'

Griffin L.

40'

Filipe Duarte

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The East Asian Championship 2017 game between Northern Mariana Islands and Macau finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Macau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Northern Mariana Islands

11%

Draws

Macau

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Northern Mariana Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Macau carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Northern Mariana Islands's way, sitting at 80%.
European nights carry their own weight — this East Asian Championship 2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Northern Mariana Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Macau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Northern Mariana Islands	Macau
Matches Played	27	31
Wins	3	6
Draws	2	2
Losses	22	23
Goals Scored	1.25	0.25
Goals Conceded	4	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	4.00	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Northern Mariana Islands vs Macau

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jul 2, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Northern Mariana Islands vs Macau

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 1 - 4

1:3

Jul 23, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Macau vs Northern Mariana Islands

Possession: 49% - 48% Cards: 1 - 0

1:2

Jul 20, 2012 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Northern Mariana Islands vs Macau

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

1:5

Mar 11, 2009 EAFF E-1 Football Championship

Macau vs Northern Mariana Islands

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

6:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northern Mariana Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Griffin L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Macau Compare

Top Goalscorer Ka Seng L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Filipe Duarte

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.23

Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Mariana Islands 74 / 100

Macau 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Northern Mariana Islands Macau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Macau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Macau lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Northern Mariana Islands's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Northern Mariana Islands VS Macau

1.25 Goals Scored 0.25

4 Goals Conceded 2.25

100% Over 1.5 63%

100% Over 2.5 50%

75% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Chinese Taipei	3	3	0	0	13:3	9
2	Mongolia	3	1	1	1	10:4	4
3	Macau	3	1	1	1	7:6	4
4	Northern Mariana Islands	3	0	0	3	2:19	0