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Northern Mariana Islands vs Tahiti

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tahiti in this Pacific Games matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tahiti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Northern Mariana Islands
40%
Draws
29%
Tahiti
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti have won more games recently than Northern Mariana Islands.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Northern Mariana Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northern Mariana Islands Tahiti
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 3 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2023 Pacific Games
Northern Mariana Islands vs Tahiti
0:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northern Mariana Islands 30 / 100
Tahiti 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northern Mariana Islands Tahiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Tahiti has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Northern Mariana Islands scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Northern Mariana Islands has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Northern Mariana Islands VS Tahiti
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
4 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Northern Mariana Islands

(Home)
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
21 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 2
Guam
07 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands
2 : 1
Guam
06 Apr
Northern Mariana Islands
2 : 2
Guam
30 Nov
Northern Mariana Islands
1 : 4
Tuvalu
Page 1 of 6

Tahiti

(Away)
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
11 Oct
New Zealand
3 : 0
Tahiti
30 Jun
Tahiti
2 : 1
Fiji
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Caledonia220015:06
2Cook Islands21012:93
3Tonga20021:90
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vanuatu21107:14
2Papua New Guinea21104:14
3Tuvalu20020:90
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Fiji211010:04
2Tahiti21105:04
3Northern Mariana Islands20020:150
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Solomon Islands220012:06
2Samoa210110:13
3American Samoa20020:210
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)