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Northwich Victoria vs Chester

World World

Club Friendly 2021
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Weeks D.
46' Event
Dudley A.
(Penalty)
54' Event
Johnston J.

AI Match Summary

Chester in this Club Friendly 2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Northwich Victoria
20%
Draws
51%
Chester
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Chester lately — more wins on the board than Northwich Victoria.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Northwich Victoria Clean Sheet 10%
Chester Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Northwich Victoria Chester
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 9 5
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2021 Club Friendly
Northwich Victoria vs Chester
1:5
Apr 9, 2012 NPL Premier Division
Chester vs Northwich Victoria
1:1
Dec 26, 2011 NPL Premier Division
Northwich Victoria vs Chester
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Northwich Victoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Lynch B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Chester Compare

Top Goalscorer Weeks D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Johnston J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Northwich Victoria 34 / 100
Chester 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Northwich Victoria Chester

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chester Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Northwich Victoria's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chester has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Northwich Victoria remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Northwich Victoria VS Chester
2 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 25%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Northwich Victoria

(Home)
05 Sept
Northwich Victoria
2 : 3
Atherton Collieries
19 Jul
Witton Albion
1 : 1
Northwich Victoria
22 Jul
Thackley
3 : 2
Northwich Victoria
20 Jul
Northwich Victoria
1 : 5
Chester
29 Aug
Northwich Victoria
2 : 0
Atherton Collieries
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Chester

(Away)
26 Sept
Chester
4 : 1
Worksop
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Buxton
3 : 1
Chester
08 Sept
Chester
0 : 1
Merthyr Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
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