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Norway U17 W vs Italy U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U17 Women
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
0 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Fiorani E.
46'
Sub
Vianello E. In: Rossi G.
Out: Vianello E.
46'
Sub
Chiessi S. In: Saragoni A.
Out: Chiessi S.

AI Match Summary

Norway U17 W host Italy U17 W in the Euro U17 Women. This one's hard to separate. Norway U17 W have averaged 2.3 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Italy U17 W's 1.86 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Norway U17 W slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 14, 2025, ending 1:3. xG projections (1.81 - 1.31) back Norway U17 W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Norway U17 W
20%
Draws
40%
Italy U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Norway U17 W have won more games recently than Italy U17 W.
  • Model gives Norway U17 W a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Norway U17 W Clean Sheet 18%
Italy U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway U17 W Italy U17 W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 15
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 2.3 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Norway U17 W
1:3
Jan 27, 2023 Friendly International Women
Italy U17 W vs Norway U17 W
0:0
Sep 30, 2014 Euro U17 Women
Italy U17 W vs Norway U17 W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway U17 W 85 / 100
Italy U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway U17 W Italy U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway U17 W found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Italy U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Norway U17 W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norway U17 W VS Italy U17 W
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway U17 W

(Home)
07 Oct
Norway U17 W
4 : 0
Northern Ireland U17 W
14 May
France U17 W
2 : 1
Norway U17 W
10 May
England U17 W
1 : 1
Norway U17 W
07 May
Northern Ireland U17 W
0 : 3
Norway U17 W
04 May
Norway U17 W
1 : 3
Germany U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Italy U17 W

(Away)
07 Oct
Italy U17 W
1 : 3
Austria U17 W
17 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 2
Hungary U17 W
15 Sept
Italy U17 W
2 : 1
Hungary U17 W
19 Mar
Italy U17 W
2 : 3
England U17 W
16 Mar
Italy U17 W
3 : 0
Turkey U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Austria U17 W 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Italy U17 W 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
4 Northern Ireland U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bulgaria U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Croatia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Poland U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Slovakia U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U17 W 1 1 0 0 9:0 3
2 Iceland U17 W 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Czech Republic U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
4 Kazakhstan U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:9 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Portugal U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Spain U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Switzerland U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Netherlands U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Israel U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sweden U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Finland U17 W 2 2 0 0 8:0 6
2 Scotland U17 W 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Ukraine U17 W 1 0 0 1 0:4 0
4 Romania U17 W 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Belarus U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Denmark U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Hungary U17 W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League A)
Relegation - Euro U17 Women (Round 2 - League B)