Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norway U21 vs Turkey U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Arnstad K.
(Penalty)
22'
Karapo A.
26'
Arnstad K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Norway U21 and Turkey U21 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Norway U21
15%
Draws
45%
Turkey U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Turkey U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norway U21 come out ahead of Turkey U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Turkey U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway U21 Turkey U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Turkey U21
5:1
Nov 21, 2023 Euro U21
Turkey U21 vs Norway U21
2:0
Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International
Turkey U21 vs Norway U21
2:3
Feb 6, 2013 Friendly International
Turkey U21 vs Norway U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Schjelderup A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nordas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Turkey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway U21 31 / 100
Turkey U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway U21 Turkey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norway U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Norway U21's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Turkey U21 has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Norway U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norway U21 VS Turkey U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
Page 1 of 6

Turkey U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Kosovo U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
14 Nov
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Ukraine U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U21 10 6 4 0 27:4 22
2 Norway U21 10 6 1 3 28:11 19
3 Ireland U21 10 5 4 1 24:12 19
4 Turkey U21 10 4 1 5 21:15 13
5 Latvia U21 10 3 2 5 10:18 11
6 San Marino U21 10 0 0 10 1:51 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U21 10 9 1 0 28:5 28
2 Belgium U21 10 6 1 3 13:6 19
3 Scotland U21 10 5 1 4 19:11 16
4 Hungary U21 10 5 1 4 12:8 16
5 Kazakhstan U21 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
6 Malta U21 10 0 0 10 4:35 0
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U21 10 10 0 0 32:3 30
2 Georgia U21 10 6 1 3 14:10 19
3 Sweden U21 10 5 2 3 25:10 17
4 North Macedonia U21 10 4 0 6 8:15 12
5 Moldova U21 10 2 1 7 7:20 7
6 Gibraltar U21 10 1 0 9 3:31 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U21 10 8 2 0 35:10 26
2 Poland U21 10 7 1 2 24:10 22
3 Bulgaria U21 10 4 3 3 17:12 15
4 Kosovo U21 10 3 3 4 10:17 12
5 Estonia U21 10 2 1 7 7:31 7
6 Israel U21 10 1 0 9 5:18 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U21 10 7 1 2 23:10 22
2 Finland U21 10 6 2 2 21:8 20
3 Switzerland U21 10 5 3 2 21:12 18
4 Albania U21 10 5 1 4 12:17 16
5 Montenegro U21 10 2 1 7 8:19 7
6 Armenia U21 10 0 2 8 2:21 2
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U21 10 8 1 1 41:6 25
2 Ukraine U21 10 8 0 2 20:7 24
3 Serbia U21 10 5 1 4 13:18 16
4 Northern Ireland U21 10 3 2 5 10:10 11
5 Luxembourg U21 10 2 2 6 6:23 8
6 Azerbaijan U21 10 1 0 9 4:30 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U21 10 9 0 1 33:6 27
2 Croatia U21 10 7 1 2 20:14 22
3 Greece U21 10 5 2 3 16:10 17
4 Faroe Islands U21 10 3 1 6 11:24 10
5 Belarus U21 10 1 3 6 6:20 6
6 Andorra U21 10 0 3 7 4:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U21 8 5 2 1 13:7 17
2 France U21 8 5 1 2 22:6 16
3 Austria U21 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
4 Cyprus U21 8 1 2 5 7:23 5
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina U21 8 1 0 7 5:17 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U21 8 5 2 1 18:8 17
2 Czech Republic U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
3 Wales U21 8 4 2 2 13:11 14
4 Iceland U21 8 3 0 5 9:14 9
5 Lithuania U21 8 1 0 7 7:16 3
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)