Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norway U21 vs Turkey U21

Europe Europe

Euro U21 2025 Lyse Arena, Stavanger
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Arnstad K.
(Penalty)
22'
Karapo A.
26'
Arnstad K.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Norway U21 and Turkey U21 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Norway U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Norway U21
39%
Draws
30%
Turkey U21
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norway U21 come out ahead of Turkey U21 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Norway U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Turkey U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway U21 Turkey U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Euro U21
Norway U21 vs Turkey U21
5:1
Nov 21, 2023 Euro U21
Turkey U21 vs Norway U21
2:0
Nov 20, 2018 Friendly International
Turkey U21 vs Norway U21
2:3
Feb 6, 2013 Friendly International
Turkey U21 vs Norway U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Schjelderup A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nordas L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Turkey U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Akman A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway U21 32 / 100
Turkey U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway U21 Turkey U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Norway U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Turkey U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Norway U21 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Norway U21 VS Turkey U21
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway U21

(Home)
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
31 Mar
Slovenia U21
2 : 0
Norway U21
27 Mar
Norway U21
3 : 2
Netherlands U21
18 Nov
Bosnia & Herzegovina U21
0 : 1
Norway U21
14 Nov
Israel U21
0 : 3
Norway U21
Page 1 of 6

Turkey U21

(Away)
03 Jun
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Kosovo U21
31 Mar
Croatia U21
3 : 0
Turkey U21
18 Nov
Lithuania U21
1 : 2
Turkey U21
14 Nov
Turkey U21
1 : 0
Ukraine U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Italy U211064027:422
2Norway U211061328:1119
3Ireland U211054124:1219
4Turkey U211041521:1513
5Latvia U211032510:1811
6San Marino U211000101:510
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Spain U211091028:528
2Belgium U211061313:619
3Scotland U211051419:1116
4Hungary U211051412:816
5Kazakhstan U211030713:249
6Malta U211000104:350
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netherlands U2110100032:330
2Georgia U211061314:1019
3Sweden U211052325:1017
4North Macedonia U21104068:1512
5Moldova U21102177:207
6Gibraltar U21101093:313
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Germany U211082035:1026
2Poland U211071224:1022
3Bulgaria U211043317:1215
4Kosovo U211033410:1712
5Estonia U21102177:317
6Israel U21101095:183
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Romania U211071223:1022
2Finland U211062221:820
3Switzerland U211053221:1218
4Albania U211051412:1716
5Montenegro U21102178:197
6Armenia U21100282:212
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1England U211081141:625
2Ukraine U211080220:724
3Serbia U211051413:1816
4Northern Ireland U211032510:1011
5Luxembourg U21102266:238
6Azerbaijan U21101094:303
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Portugal U211090133:627
2Croatia U211071220:1422
3Greece U211052316:1017
4Faroe Islands U211031611:2410
5Belarus U21101366:206
6Andorra U21100374:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Slovenia U21852113:717
2France U21851222:616
3Austria U21843112:615
4Cyprus U2181257:235
5Bosnia & Herzegovina U2181075:173
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Denmark U21852118:817
2Czech Republic U21842213:1114
3Wales U21842213:1114
4Iceland U2183059:149
5Lithuania U2181077:163
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Main)
Promotion - Euro U21 2025 (Promotion)