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Norway vs England

World World

World Championship 2026 Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
1 - 2
09:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Schjelderup A.
Assist: Odegaard M.
45' Event
Bellingham J.
Assist: Gordon A.
46'
Sub
Madueke N. In: Saka B.
Out: Madueke N.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with England advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Norway
15%
Draws
42%
England
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • England carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Norway taking it.
  • England arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor England, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Norway Clean Sheet 10%
England Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway England
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 19 22
Draws 4 2
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 2.71 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 World Championship
Norway vs England
1:2
Sep 3, 2014 Friendly International
England vs Norway
1:0
May 26, 2012 Friendly International
Norway vs England
0:1
Oct 11, 1995 Friendly International
Norway vs England
0:0
May 22, 1994 Friendly International
England vs Norway
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway Compare

Top Goalscorer Schjelderup A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

England Compare

Top Goalscorer Bellingham J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway 34 / 100
England 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway England

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Norway scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Norway remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

England has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Norway VS England
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norway

(Home)
27 Sept
Norway
1 : 2
Portugal
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2
Denmark
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
Page 1 of 6

England

(Away)
26 Sept
England
2 : 3
Spain
18 Jul
France
4 : 6
England
15 Jul
England
1 : 2
Argentina
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
06 Jul
Mexico
2 : 3
England
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Germany 1
Paraguay 2
France 3
Sweden 0
South Africa 0
Canada 1
Netherlands 1
Morocco 2
Portugal 2
Croatia 1
Spain 3
Austria 0
USA 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina 0
Belgium 3
Senegal 2
Brazil 2
Japan 1
Ivory Coast 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
Ecuador 0
England 2
D.R. Congo 1
Argentina 3
Cape Verde 2
Australia 1
Egypt 2
Switzerland 2
Algeria 0
Colombia 1
Ghana 0
1/8-finals
Paraguay 0
France 1
Canada 0
Morocco 3
Portugal 0
Spain 1
USA 1
Belgium 4
Brazil 1
Norway 2
Mexico 2
England 3
Argentina 3
Egypt 2
Switzerland 1
Colombia 0
Quarter-finals
France 2
Morocco 0
Spain 2
Belgium 1
Norway 1
England 2
Argentina 3
Switzerland 1
Semi-finals
France 0
Spain 2
England 1
Argentina 2
Final
Spain 1
Argentina 0
France 4
England 6