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Norway vs England

World World

World Championship 2026 Hard Rock Stadium
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norway play England in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Norway averaged 2.66 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. England averaged 2.24 goals scored and 0.62 conceded. In past meetings, Norway won 1, England won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Sep 3, 2014 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Norway and 1.56 for England. This points to a England double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Norway
20%
Draws
42%
England
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: England

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Norway picked up more points recently compared to England.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Norway Clean Sheet 15%
England Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway England
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 23
Draws 5 2
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.66 2.24
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2014 Friendly International
England vs Norway
1:0
May 26, 2012 Friendly International
Norway vs England
0:1
Oct 11, 1995 Friendly International
Norway vs England
0:0
May 22, 1994 Friendly International
England vs Norway
0:0
Jun 1, 1993 World Championship
Norway vs England
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway 37 / 100
England 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway England

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: England or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norway attacking → ← attacking England

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

England let in goals in 41% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.80 goals.

Norway went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

England lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

62 Points in last 5 71
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63