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Norway W vs Iceland W

Europe Europe

Euro Women Stockhorn Arena
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Norway W play Iceland W in the Euro Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Norway W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Iceland W averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. In past meetings, Norway W won 2, Iceland W won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jul 10, 2025 ended 4:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Norway W and 1.19 for Iceland W. This points to a Norway W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Norway W
34%
Draws
25%
Iceland W
Draw rate projection: 34% Favored: Norway W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Norway W picked up more points recently compared to Iceland W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Norway W Clean Sheet 20%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway W Iceland W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.19
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2025 Euro Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
4:3
May 30, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
1:1
Apr 4, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Iceland W vs Norway W
0:0
Feb 20, 2021 Tournoi de France Women
Iceland W vs Norway W
0:0
Jan 23, 2018 Friendly International Women
Norway W vs Iceland W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway W Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaupset S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Leonhardsen-Maanum F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Iceland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonsdottir S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eiriksdottir H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway W 41 / 100
Iceland W 25 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway W Iceland W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Norway W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norway W attacking → ← attacking Iceland W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway W scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Iceland W let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Norway W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Iceland W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 40
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway W33008:59
2Switzerland W31114:34
3Finland W31113:34
4Iceland W30033:70
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain W330014:39
2Italy W31113:44
3Belgium W31024:83
4Portugal W30122:81
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sweden W33008:19
2Germany W32015:56
3Poland W31023:73
4Denmark W30033:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France W330011:49
2England W320111:36
3Netherlands W31025:93
4Wales W30032:130