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Norway W vs Slovenia W

World World

World Cup Women Ullevaal Stadion
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AI Match Summary

This World Cup Women encounter between Norway W and Slovenia W promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Norway W averages 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded in recent matches. Slovenia W shows a form average of 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Norway W, 0 wins for Slovenia W, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.26 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 2.19 for Norway W and 0.88 for Slovenia W, suggesting the primary value lies in the Norway W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Norway W
17%
Draws
33%
Slovenia W
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Norway W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Norway W picked up more points recently compared to Slovenia W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.19 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Norway W Clean Sheet 25%
Slovenia W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norway W Slovenia W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

18.04.26 World Cup Women
Slovenia W vs Norway W
2:3
14.04.26 World Cup Women
Norway W vs Slovenia W
5:0

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Norway W

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Sit deep
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Slovenia W

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norway W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegerberg A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Blakstad J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Slovenia W Compare

Top Goalscorer N/A
0 Goals
Assists Leader N/A
0 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norway W 50 / 100
Slovenia W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norway W Slovenia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Norway W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19%
2.38
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Norway W 55%
Slovenia W 26%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Norway W 48%
Slovenia W 35%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Norway W 50%
Slovenia W 33%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Norway W 53%
Slovenia W 31%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Norway W 45%
Slovenia W 36%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Norway W 57%
Slovenia W 38%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Norway W attacking → ← attacking Slovenia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Norway W have found the net in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Slovenia W have conceded at least one goal in 57% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 5.00 goals per match.

Norway W remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Slovenia W suffered defeat in 4 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Knockout cup fixture where progress is the sole objective; expect high motivation and potential extra time drama.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 45
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark W642012:514
2Italy W623112:49
3Sweden W62226:68
4Serbia W60152:171
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France W641111:513
2Netherlands W632112:911
3Ireland W63039:99
4Poland W60156:151
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain W650121:315
2England W650113:515
3Iceland W62043:126
4Ukraine W60062:190
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany W651018:116
2Norway W640211:912
3Austria W61143:94
4Slovenia W61053:163