Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Norwich vs Bolton

England England

Championship Carrow Road, Norwich
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Toure M.
Assist: Brooks A.
8' Event
Gale T.
Assist: Rodrigues R.
15'
Sub
Toure M. In: Makama J.
Out: Toure M.

AI Match Summary

The Championship game between Norwich and Bolton finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bolton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Norwich
15%
Draws
42%
Bolton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Norwich

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Norwich carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Norwich a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Norwich Clean Sheet 20%
Bolton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich Bolton
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.61 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Championship
Norwich vs Bolton
3:4
Feb 16, 2019 Championship
Bolton vs Norwich
0:4
Dec 8, 2018 Championship
Norwich vs Bolton
3:2
Feb 24, 2018 Championship
Norwich vs Bolton
0:0
Nov 4, 2017 Championship
Bolton vs Norwich
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Norwich Compare

Top Goalscorer Toure M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McConville R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Bolton Compare

Top Goalscorer Gale T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Larrazabal G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich 42 / 100
Bolton 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich Bolton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Norwich found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Bolton conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Bolton registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Norwich VS Bolton
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich

(Home)
20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4
Bolton
17 Sept
Manchester City
5 : 0
Norwich
12 Sept
Middlesbrough
4 : 3
Norwich
09 Sept
Norwich
2 : 1
Birmingham
05 Sept
Sheffield Utd
1 : 3
Norwich
Page 1 of 7

Bolton

(Away)
20 Sept
Norwich
3 : 4
Bolton
12 Sept
Bolton
1 : 0
Cardiff
08 Sept
Bolton
2 : 3
West Ham
05 Sept
Millwall
4 : 0
Bolton
01 Sept
Sheffield Utd
3 : 2
Bolton
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 13:6 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 22:11 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 16:12 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 15:10 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 10:8 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 10:7 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13:12 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 11:12 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 7:10 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 12:11 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 15:15 11
12 Lincoln City 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 19:10 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 9:12 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 12:12 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 16:17 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9:11 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 9:10 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 7:10 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 10:12 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 7:14 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 8:15 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 9:17 4
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One 2027/2028 (Main)