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Norwich W vs Leafield Athletic W

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2024/2025 Carrow Road, Norwich
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Norwich W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Norwich W
15%
Draws
48%
Leafield Athletic W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leafield Athletic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Norwich W come out ahead of Leafield Athletic W on wins alone.
  • Leafield Athletic W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Norwich W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Norwich W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Norwich W Clean Sheet 11%
Leafield Athletic W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Norwich W Leafield Athletic W
Matches Played 25 14
Wins 9 7
Draws 2 0
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.4 2.86
Goals Conceded 1.92 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2024 Women’s FA Cup
Norwich W vs Leafield Athletic W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Norwich W 10 / 100
Leafield Athletic W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Norwich W Leafield Athletic W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leafield Athletic W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Norwich W scored in 80% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Leafield Athletic W conceded in 71% of 14 recent games.

Norwich W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Norwich W VS Leafield Athletic W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.67
1 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 83%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Norwich W

(Home)
30 Aug
Rugby Borough W
1 : 0
Norwich W
23 Aug
Hull City W
0 : 2
Norwich W
16 Aug
Norwich W
1 : 1
Huddersfield W
23 Nov
Burnley W
4 : 0
Norwich W
26 Oct
Stevenage W
3 : 4
Norwich W
Page 1 of 5

Leafield Athletic W

(Away)
14 Dec
Leafield Athletic W
2 : 3
Swindon W
23 Nov
Leafield Athletic W
2 : 1
Worcester W
26 Oct
Leafield Athletic W
8 : 0
Crusaders W
24 Nov
Norwich W
1 : 0
Leafield Athletic W
03 Nov
Derby W
1 : 3
Leafield Athletic W
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Manchester City W -
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Hashtag W 6
Wroxham W 0
Ipswich W 12
Milton Keynes Dons W 0
Winchester City W 1
Portchester W 4
Saltash United W 0
Bournemouth W 6
Leicester W -
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Durham Cestria W 4
Norton & Stockton W 0
Curzon Ashton W 0
Chester-Le-Street Town W 1
Stoke City LFC W 5
Hednesford W 0
Loughborough Lightning W 2
Sutton Coldfield Town W 1
Aston Villa W -
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Oxford Utd W 5
Actonians W 0
AFC Wimbledon W 0
Watford W 1
Bursledon W 0
Marine Academy Plymouth W 4
Bristol Rovers W 4
Sherborne Town W 3
Brighton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Durham W -
Cheltenham W 7
Yeovil W 0
Bournemouth Sports W 0
Moneyfields W 1
Cambridge Utd W 0
Norwich W 1
Derby W 1
Leafield Athletic W 3
Asfordby W 1
Wolverhampton W 7
Notts County W 0
Sporting Khalsa W 5
Shrewsbury W 3
Northampton W 2
Sheffield FC W 2
Penrith W 1
Manchester United W -
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Knowle W 1
West Brom W 7
Stamford W 2
Worcester W 3
St Helens W 2
Doncaster W 1
Cheadle Town W 2
AFC Fylde W 0
Kidderminster W 3
Port Vale W 1
Telford W 1
Stourbridge W 5
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Blackburn W -
Portsmouth W -
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Cambridge City W 2
Stevenage W 3
Hutton W 2
Luton W 4
Plymouth W 6
Poole Town W 0
Exeter W 4
Keynsham Town W 0
Aylesford W 3
Reading W 1
Comets W 2
Worthing FC W 5
Sunderland W -
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Rossington Main W 0
Accrington W 1
Huddersfield W 7
Nantwich W 0
Chelsea W -
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Charlton W -
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Lewes W 2
Dulwich Hamlet W 1
Sudbury W 3
Bowers & Pitsea W 0
Everton W -
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Tottenham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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South Shields W 4
Halifax W 3
Thornaby W 2
Liverpool Feds W 7
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Sheffield Utd W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Washington W 0
Hull City W 7
Wythenshawe FC W 0
Middlesbrough W 3
River City W 2
Long Itchington W 3
Boldmere St Michaels W 1
Nottingham W 3
Burnley W 12
Spennymoor W 0
Preston W 1
Bradford City W 2
Arsenal W -
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Southampton FC W -
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Bristol City W -
Brentford W 4
Ascot United W 2
London Seaward W 3
Hackney W 1
Fulham W 7
Chesham W 0
Royston Town W 3
Newport Pagnell W 0
London City Lionesses W -
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Gwalia United W 4
Swindon W 1
Torquay W 0
Bridgwater United W 1
Farnham W 0
London Bees W 2
Chatham W 5
Dorking Wanderers W 2
Penn Tylers W 0
QPR W 3
Saltdean United W 2
South London W 1
Rugby Borough W 7
Lincoln W 0
Peterborough W 3
Billericay W 2
Mancunian Unity W 6
Stockport W 2
Handsworth W 2
York City W 0
West Ham W -
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Liverpool W -
1/64-finals
Manchester City W -
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Hashtag W 2
Ipswich W 3
Portchester W 0
Bournemouth W 4
Leicester W -
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Durham Cestria W 1
Chester-Le-Street Town W 2
Stoke City LFC W 4
Loughborough Lightning W 2
Aston Villa W -
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Oxford Utd W 1
Watford W 0
Marine Academy Plymouth W 0
Bristol Rovers W 4
Brighton W -
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Birmingham W -
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Durham W -
Cheltenham W 2
Moneyfields W 1
Norwich W 1
Leafield Athletic W 0
Wolverhampton W 8
Sporting Khalsa W 1
Shrewsbury W 4
Sheffield FC W 3
Manchester United W -
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West Brom W 6
Worcester W 0
St Helens W 0
Cheadle Town W 4
Kidderminster W 2
Stourbridge W 1
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Blackburn W -
Portsmouth W -
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Stevenage W 1
Luton W 2
Plymouth W 1
Exeter W 5
Aylesford W 2
Worthing FC W 3
Sunderland W -
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Accrington W 1
Huddersfield W 2
Chelsea W -
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Charlton W -
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Lewes W 3
Sudbury W 0
Everton W -
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Tottenham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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South Shields W 0
Liverpool Feds W 11
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Sheffield Utd W -
Newcastle Utd W -
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Hull City W 0
Middlesbrough W 1
Long Itchington W 0
Nottingham W 19
Burnley W 11
Bradford City W 0
Arsenal W -
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Southampton FC W -
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Bristol City W -
Brentford W 1
London Seaward W 0
Fulham W 4
Royston Town W 3
London City Lionesses W -
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Gwalia United W 4
Bridgwater United W 0
London Bees W 3
Chatham W 2
QPR W 5
Saltdean United W 0
Rugby Borough W 7
Peterborough W 1
Mancunian Unity W 4
Handsworth W 0
West Ham W -
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Liverpool W -
1/32-finals
Manchester City W -
TBD -
Ipswich W 1
Bournemouth W 0
Leicester W -
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Chester-Le-Street Town W 1
Stoke City LFC W 2
Aston Villa W -
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Oxford Utd W 2
Bristol Rovers W 3
Brighton W -
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Birmingham W 0
Durham W 1
Cheltenham W 2
Norwich W 1
Wolverhampton W 14
Shrewsbury W 0
Manchester United W -
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West Brom W 2
Cheadle Town W 0
Kidderminster W 0
Blackburn W 4
Portsmouth W 5
Luton W 0
Exeter W 3
Worthing FC W 1
Sunderland W 4
Huddersfield W 0
Chelsea W -
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Charlton W 4
Lewes W 0
Everton W -
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Tottenham W -
Crystal Palace W -
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Liverpool Feds W 0
Sheffield Utd W 2
Newcastle Utd W 2
Middlesbrough W 0
Nottingham W 1
Burnley W 0
Arsenal W -
TBD -
Southampton FC W 0
Bristol City W 3
Brentford W 1
Fulham W 2
London City Lionesses W 4
Gwalia United W 0
London Bees W 6
QPR W 3
Rugby Borough W 3
Mancunian Unity W 0
West Ham W -
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Liverpool W -
1/16-finals
Manchester City W 3
Ipswich W 0
Leicester W 4
Stoke City LFC W 1
Aston Villa W 9
Bristol Rovers W 0
Brighton W 4
Durham W 1
Cheltenham W 0
Wolverhampton W 2
Manchester United W 7
West Brom W 0
Blackburn W 1
Portsmouth W 3
Exeter W 1
Sunderland W 7
Chelsea W 4
Charlton W 0
Everton W 2
Tottenham W 0
Crystal Palace W 6
Sheffield Utd W 1
Newcastle Utd W 1
Nottingham W 0
Arsenal W 5
Bristol City W 0
Fulham W 0
London City Lionesses W 5
London Bees W 0
Rugby Borough W 6
West Ham W 0
Liverpool W 5
1/8-finals
Manchester City W 3
Leicester W 1
Aston Villa W 3
Brighton W 2
Wolverhampton W 0
Manchester United W 6
Portsmouth W 0
Sunderland W 2
Chelsea W 4
Everton W 1
Crystal Palace W 2
Newcastle Utd W 0
Arsenal W 2
London City Lionesses W 0
Rugby Borough W 0
Liverpool W 2
Quarter-finals
Manchester City W 2
Aston Villa W 0
Manchester United W 3
Sunderland W 1
Chelsea W 1
Crystal Palace W 0
Arsenal W 0
Liverpool W 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City W 0
Manchester United W 2
Chelsea W 2
Liverpool W 1
Final
Manchester United W 0
Chelsea W 3