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Nosaby IF vs Simrishamn

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ayonuga O.
78' Event
Wiktorsson P.
86' Event
Wiktorsson P.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 game between Nosaby IF and Simrishamn finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Simrishamn.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Nosaby IF
15%
Draws
8%
Simrishamn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Nosaby IF carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nosaby IF a 77% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 20%
Simrishamn Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosaby IF Simrishamn
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.78 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.62 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Simrishamn
1:2
May 18, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Nosaby IF
0:1
Aug 11, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Simrishamn
2:0
Apr 15, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Simrishamn vs Nosaby IF
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosaby IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayonuga O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Simrishamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiktorsson P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosaby IF 85 / 100
Simrishamn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosaby IF Simrishamn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nosaby IF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosaby IF found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (37 games).

Defensive concern: Simrishamn conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Nosaby IF went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nosaby IF VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Nosaby IF

(Home)
05 Sept
Oskarshamn
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
29 Aug
IFK Karlshamn
3 : 1
Nosaby IF
22 Aug
Nosaby IF
5 : 0
Torns
18 Aug
Nosaby IF
0 : 3
IFK Trelleborg
14 Aug
Solvesborgs
1 : 2
Nosaby IF
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Simrishamn

(Away)
28 Feb
Kristianstad
6 : 0
Simrishamn
01 Nov
Simrishamn
3 : 3
Solveborgs GOIF
26 Oct
Solveborgs GOIF
1 : 0
Simrishamn
19 Oct
IFK Trelleborg
3 : 0
Simrishamn
12 Oct
Simrishamn
1 : 2
IFK Hassleholm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hassleholms IF 26 18 7 1 51:16 61
2 Kristianstad 26 16 6 4 58:28 54
3 Osterlen FF 26 14 3 9 50:45 45
4 Karlskrona 26 12 6 8 52:40 42
5 IFK Karlshamn 26 12 4 10 44:48 40
6 IFK Trelleborg 26 10 7 9 55:44 37
7 Hogaborgs 26 12 1 13 40:40 37
8 Rappe GOIF 26 9 8 9 33:35 35
9 Balkan 26 10 2 14 35:38 32
10 IFK Hassleholm 26 8 5 13 29:40 29
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 28:43 26
12 Simrishamn 26 7 5 14 33:56 26
13 Lodde 26 6 6 14 32:49 24
14 IFK Berga 26 7 3 16 34:52 24
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2024 (Relegation)