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Nosaby IF vs Vaxjo Norra

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ayonuga O.
83' Event
Bjornson L.
88' Event
Kvist E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2025 game between Nosaby IF and Vaxjo Norra finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nosaby IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Nosaby IF
30%
Draws
34%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nosaby IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Nosaby IF haven't matched Vaxjo Norra's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Nosaby IF taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Nosaby IF here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Nosaby IF Clean Sheet 10%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosaby IF Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Vaxjo Norra
0:0
Oct 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Nosaby IF vs Vaxjo Norra
3:1
Apr 19, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs Nosaby IF
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosaby IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Ayonuga O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bjornson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Stijovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosaby IF 34 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosaby IF Vaxjo Norra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosaby IF's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vaxjo Norra has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.67 goals as a typical output.

Nosaby IF has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nosaby IF VS Vaxjo Norra
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kristianstad26184447:2258
2Karlskrona26165559:2853
3IFK Trelleborg26137658:4146
4Solvesborgs26136754:4145
5Vaxjo Norra261151046:3238
6Rappe GOIF26910729:3237
7Torns261041230:4634
8Linero IF261031339:4533
9Nosaby IF26961141:4833
10IFK Karlshamn261021431:4332
11Osterlen FF26931441:4330
12Hogaborgs26841443:5328
13IFK Hassleholm26641636:5822
14Balkan26491334:5621