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Stadium Background

Nosta vs KDV Tomsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 Stadium Metallurg, Novotroitsk
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sagutkin D.
42'
Khasyanov A.
44'
Sub
Nesterov A. In: Matveev M.
Out: Nesterov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 game between Nosta and KDV Tomsk finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nosta
6%
Draws
90%
KDV Tomsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KDV Tomsk come out ahead of Nosta on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on KDV Tomsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KDV Tomsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Nosta Clean Sheet 15%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosta KDV Tomsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 0.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
3:0
May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Sagutkin D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 10 / 100
KDV Tomsk 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosta KDV Tomsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Nosta found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Nosta stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nosta VS KDV Tomsk
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Nosta

(Home)
12 Jul
KDV Tomsk
3 : 0
Nosta
05 Jul
Nosta
1 : 0
Orenburg 2
01 Jul
Rubin Kazan 2
3 : 0
Nosta
28 Jun
Nosta
1 : 1
Krylya Sovetov Samara 2
21 Jun
Nosta
0 : 1
Dynamo Barnaul
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KDV Tomsk

(Away)
12 Jul
KDV Tomsk
3 : 0
Nosta
05 Jul
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2
KDV Tomsk
01 Jul
KDV Tomsk
1 : 0
Akron Togliatti 2
28 Jun
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
4 : 0
KDV Tomsk
21 Jun
KDV Tomsk
4 : 1
Ural 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Amkar26203360:1963
2Khimik26195256:2062
3KDV Tomsk26137641:2546
4Orenburg 2261210441:2446
5Uralets Nizhny Tagil26126837:2842
6Dynamo Barnaul26125930:4041
7Volna Nizhegorodskaya261241033:3540
8Rubin Kazan 226116940:3039
9Krylya Sovetov Samara 226781129:3929
10Akron Togliatti 226831541:5227
11Chelyabinsk 226761318:4027
12Ural 226561522:5321
13Nosta26541724:5219
14Sokol Kazan2621238:237
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2025/2026 (Fall Season)