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Nosta vs KDV Tomsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

81' Event
Nikonorov D.
88' Event
Antipov K.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Nosta and KDV Tomsk finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward KDV Tomsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Nosta
6%
Draws
90%
KDV Tomsk
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: KDV Tomsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and KDV Tomsk come out ahead of Nosta on wins alone.
  • Model gives KDV Tomsk a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • KDV Tomsk have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Nosta Clean Sheet 15%
KDV Tomsk Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosta KDV Tomsk
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 22 5
Goals Scored 0.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
3:0
May 10, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
0:2
Oct 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs KDV Tomsk
1:2
Jul 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
KDV Tomsk vs Nosta
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

KDV Tomsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikonorov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Antipov K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 10 / 100
KDV Tomsk 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosta KDV Tomsk

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KDV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

KDV Tomsk let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Nosta scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Nosta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Nosta VS KDV Tomsk
0.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%