Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Nosta vs Khimik

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Savinov A.
83' Event
Borisov E.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 game between Nosta and Khimik finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khimik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Nosta
15%
Draws
64%
Khimik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Khimik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Khimik are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Khimik have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Nosta Clean Sheet 10%
Khimik Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Nosta Khimik
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 24
Draws 6 2
Losses 18 3
Goals Scored 0.9 2.45
Goals Conceded 2 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Russian Cup
Khimik vs Nosta
2:3
Aug 2, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik vs Nosta
5:0
May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Khimik
0:1
Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Nosta vs Khimik
2:5
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4
Khimik vs Nosta
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Khimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Savinov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 14 / 100
Khimik 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Nosta Khimik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khimik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Khimik conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Nosta scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Nosta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Nosta VS Khimik
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Nosta

(Home)
13 Sept
Rubin Kazan 2
2 : 0
Nosta
06 Sept
Nosta
0 : 1
Ural 2
30 Aug
FK Izhevsk
1 : 2
Nosta
26 Aug
Nosta
1 : 2
Saratov
23 Aug
Nosta
2 : 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
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Khimik

(Away)
13 Sept
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
0 : 1
Khimik
06 Sept
Khimik
2 : 1
KDV Tomsk
30 Aug
Khimik
3 : 0
Dynamo Barnaul
23 Aug
KDV Tomsk
1 : 0
Khimik
16 Aug
Khimik
2 : 1
Orenburg 2
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Khimik 22 18 2 2 57:16 56
2 KDV Tomsk 22 17 2 3 40:20 53
3 Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 22 13 4 5 51:33 43
4 Akron Togliatti 2 22 10 2 10 46:34 32
5 Krylya Sovetov Samara 2 22 6 9 7 25:26 27
6 Dynamo Barnaul 22 7 5 10 31:50 26
7 Orenburg 2 22 6 8 8 31:35 26
8 FK Izhevsk 22 5 8 9 30:32 23
9 Ural 2 22 5 7 10 34:44 22
10 Rubin Kazan 2 22 4 8 10 25:35 20
11 Nosta 22 4 6 12 20:48 18
12 Chelyabinsk 2 22 4 5 13 19:36 17
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Championship Group)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 (Relegation Group)