Sport Picks

Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Khimik

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Nosta play Khimik in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4. Khimik are favorites here. Recently, Nosta averaged 0.76 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Khimik averaged 2.26 goals scored and 0.81 conceded. In past meetings, Nosta won 1, Khimik won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 24, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.44 for Nosta and 2.19 for Khimik. This points to a Khimik double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Nosta

15%

Draws

76%

Khimik

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khimik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Nosta picked up more points recently compared to Khimik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.44 vs 2.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

Nosta Clean Sheet 10%

Khimik Clean Sheet 23%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Nosta	Khimik
Matches Played	29	31
Wins	2	24
Draws	5	4
Losses	22	3
Goals Scored	0.76	2.26
Goals Conceded	2.17	0.81
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Nosta vs Khimik

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

0:1

Aug 10, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Nosta vs Khimik

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 0 - 1

2:5

May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4

Khimik vs Nosta

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

May 7, 2016 FNL 2 - Group 4

Khimik vs Nosta

Possession: 58% - 54% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Oct 3, 2015 FNL 2 - Group 4

Nosta vs Khimik

Possession: 56% - 60% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Nosta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19

Avg xA / game 0.13

Khimik Compare

Top Goalscorer Savinov A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.27

Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Nosta 10 / 100

Khimik 73 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Nosta Khimik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khimik Win (2)

Secondary Pick Khimik & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +800%

100.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Nosta attacking → ← attacking Khimik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nosta scored in 48% of their last 29 games.

Khimik let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Nosta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Khimik lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 76

0.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.50

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63