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Notaresco Calcio vs Aquila Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notaresco Calcio host Aquila Calcio in the Serie D - Group F. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Notaresco Calcio at 1.34 goals for, 1.14 against; Aquila Calcio at 1.39 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Notaresco Calcio have won 2 to Aquila Calcio's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.56) back Aquila Calcio to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Notaresco Calcio
15%
Draws
51%
Aquila Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aquila Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aquila Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Notaresco Calcio.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 15%
Aquila Calcio Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio Aquila Calcio
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.34 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio
0:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
1:2
Feb 23, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Aquila Calcio
1:0
Oct 23, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
May 5, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Aquila Calcio vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 31 / 100
Aquila Calcio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio Aquila Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Notaresco Calcio stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Aquila Calcio conceded in 57% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS Aquila Calcio
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notaresco Calcio

(Home)
18 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
5 : 2
Maceratese
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Recanatese
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Aquila Calcio

(Away)
18 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Aquila Calcio
11 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Santegidiese
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
2 : 1
Termoli
04 Oct
Pietralunga
0 : 3
Aquila Calcio
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)