Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018

Notaresco Calcio

3 - 2

Fabriano Cerreto

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 game between Notaresco Calcio and Fabriano Cerreto finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Notaresco Calcio

Draws

Fabriano Cerreto

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Notaresco Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
Notaresco Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 20%

Fabriano Cerreto Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Notaresco Calcio	Fabriano Cerreto
Matches Played	43	30
Wins	17	3
Draws	13	5
Losses	13	22
Goals Scored	0.63	0
Goals Conceded	0.75	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2018 Serie D - Group F

Notaresco Calcio vs Fabriano Cerreto

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 1 - 1

3:2

Dec 10, 2017 Serie D - Group F

Fabriano Cerreto vs Notaresco Calcio

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 1 - 4

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 85 / 100

Fabriano Cerreto 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Notaresco Calcio Fabriano Cerreto

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fabriano Cerreto's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Notaresco Calcio's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 43 recent games.

Recent resilience: Notaresco Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS -

0.63 Goals Scored 0

0.75 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vis Pesaro	34	23	4	7	61:29	73
2	Matelica	34	22	5	7	66:28	71
3	Avezzano	34	16	14	4	51:26	62
4	Pineto	34	15	12	7	53:41	57
5	Aquila Calcio	34	15	10	9	57:40	55
6	ASD Francavilla	34	14	11	9	47:38	53
7	San Marino Calcio	34	15	6	13	45:35	51
8	Vastese	34	15	6	13	55:50	51
9	Sangiustese	34	13	9	12	39:41	48
10	Campobasso	34	13	10	11	41:40	45
11	Castelfidardo	34	12	8	14	43:54	44
12	Recanatese	34	12	7	15	47:47	43
13	Agnonese	34	11	8	15	34:35	41
14	Notaresco Calcio	34	11	7	16	42:51	40
15	Jesina	34	8	10	16	32:46	34
16	Monticelli	34	5	15	14	25:45	30
17	Fabriano Cerreto	34	5	5	24	29:69	20
18	Nerostellati Pratola	34	3	9	22	19:71	18