Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Arrigoni A.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Cascio F.
(Penalty)
82'
82'
Conti G.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Notaresco Calcio and Isernia finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Isernia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Isernia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Notaresco Calcio come out ahead of Isernia on wins alone.
- Isernia are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 26%
Isernia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Isernia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Isernia
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Feb 13, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0
Oct 24, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Isernia
3:0
Apr 3, 2016 Serie D - Group F
Isernia vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68
Isernia Compare
Top Goalscorer Conti G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 30 / 100
Isernia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Isernia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Isernia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Isernia let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Notaresco Calcio's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Isernia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ostiamare
22 Mar
Notaresco Calcio
4 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 3
Isernia
(Away) 04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0 Isernia
27 Apr
Isernia
3 : 2 Avezzano
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0 Isernia
13 Apr
Isernia
1 : 2 Aquila Calcio
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Isernia
Page 1 of 6
04 May
Fossombrone
1 : 0 Isernia
17 Apr
Roma City
1 : 0 Isernia
06 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Isernia
23 Mar
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 3 Isernia
02 Mar
Sambenedettese
1 : 0 Isernia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sambenedettese | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 61:21 | 72 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:31 | 62 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:33 | 60 |
| 4 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52:39 | 58 |
| 5 | Fossombrone | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 44:36 | 50 |
| 6 | Ancona | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 35:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Avezzano | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 41:43 | 46 |
| 8 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 39:34 | 45 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:39 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 36:38 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 37:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Recanatese | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:53 | 40 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 32:39 | 40 |
| 14 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 37:45 | 38 |
| 15 | Civitanovese Calcio | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 31:39 | 37 |
| 16 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Isernia | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 32:57 | 34 |
| 18 | Fermana | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 24:42 | 27 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)
