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Notaresco Calcio vs Maceratese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
11' Event
47' Event

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Notaresco Calcio and Maceratese finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Notaresco Calcio
20%
Draws
33%
Maceratese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Notaresco Calcio a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 68%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio Maceratese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Maceratese
5:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Maceratese
2:1
Feb 28, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Notaresco Calcio
0:0
Oct 19, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Maceratese
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 86 / 100
Maceratese 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio Maceratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Notaresco Calcio Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maceratese has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Notaresco Calcio found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Notaresco Calcio remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS Maceratese
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Notaresco Calcio

(Home)
18 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
5 : 2
Maceratese
10 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
2 : 1
Recanatese
04 Oct
Montecchio Gallo
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1
Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Maceratese

(Away)
18 Oct
Notaresco Calcio
5 : 2
Maceratese
11 Oct
Maceratese
0 : 2
Foligno
04 Oct
Recanatese
2 : 3
Maceratese
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)