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Notaresco Calcio vs Nerostellati Pratola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Notaresco Calcio
22%
Draws
18%
Nerostellati Pratola
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Notaresco Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Nerostellati Pratola haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Notaresco Calcio a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Nerostellati Pratola Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Notaresco Calcio Nerostellati Pratola
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 3
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.63 0
Goals Conceded 0.75 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2018 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Nerostellati Pratola
3:0
Dec 3, 2017 Serie D - Group F
Nerostellati Pratola vs Notaresco Calcio
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Notaresco Calcio 58 / 100
Nerostellati Pratola 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Notaresco Calcio Nerostellati Pratola

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nerostellati Pratola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Notaresco Calcio scored in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Notaresco Calcio went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Notaresco Calcio VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vis Pesaro34234761:2973
2Matelica34225766:2871
3Avezzano341614451:2662
4Pineto341512753:4157
5Aquila Calcio341510957:4055
6ASD Francavilla341411947:3853
7San Marino Calcio341561345:3551
8Vastese341561355:5051
9Sangiustese341391239:4148
10Campobasso3413101141:4045
11Castelfidardo341281443:5444
12Recanatese341271547:4743
13Agnonese341181534:3541
14Notaresco Calcio341171642:5140
15Jesina348101632:4634
16Monticelli345151425:4530
17Fabriano Cerreto34552429:6920
18Nerostellati Pratola34392219:7118