Sport Picks
Notaresco Calcio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 
Match Events
30'
30'
Banegas P. E.
34'
34'
Gallo M.
47'
47'
Palumbo C.
AI Match Summary
Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
30%
41%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Porto Sant'Elpidio haven't matched Notaresco Calcio's recent run of results.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Notaresco Calcio | Porto Sant'Elpidio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 45 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 4 |
| Draws | 16 | 3 |
| Losses | 12 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 19, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:0
Feb 16, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
3:0
Feb 23, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
Oct 20, 2019 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Banegas P. E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gallo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Notaresco Calcio 36 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Notaresco Calcio Porto Sant'Elpidio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Porto Sant'Elpidio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Porto Sant'Elpidio has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 3.25 goals.
Notaresco Calcio's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 45 recent games.
Recent resilience: Notaresco Calcio stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Notaresco Calcio VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Notaresco Calcio
(Home) 26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
Page 1 of 9
26 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 1 Pietralunga
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
26 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 San Marino Calcio
12 Apr
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 5
Porto Sant'Elpidio
(Away) 19 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
2 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
13 Jun
Porto Sant'Elpidio
3 : 2 Castelnuovo Vomano
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 6
16 Jun
Vastese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
06 Jun
Campobasso
1 : 1 Porto Sant'Elpidio
30 May
Agnonese
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
19 May
Giulianova
2 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
16 May
Montegiorgio
1 : 0 Porto Sant'Elpidio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Campobasso | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 63:29 | 72 |
| 2 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 59:34 | 64 |
| 3 | Pineto | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:33 | 56 |
| 4 | Cynthialbalonga | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 51:35 | 56 |
| 5 | Matese | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 46:38 | 56 |
| 6 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 46:33 | 55 |
| 7 | Recanatese | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 62:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Castelnuovo Vomano | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 53:53 | 50 |
| 9 | Vastese | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Montegiorgio | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 42:42 | 46 |
| 11 | FC Rieti | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:42 | 44 |
| 12 | Aprilia | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:49 | 44 |
| 13 | Roma City | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 40:41 | 40 |
| 14 | US Tolentino | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52:53 | 40 |
| 15 | Vastogirardi | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46:51 | 40 |
| 16 | Giulianova | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 33:50 | 31 |
| 17 | Porto Sant'Elpidio | 34 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 22:63 | 17 |
| 18 | Agnonese | 34 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 25:83 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 (Play Offs)
